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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
Hartberg
S S S T U
2–1
Full-time
Tirol
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
56%
69%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,35 xG 0,47
60% Possession 40%
12 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hartberg 6. · Tirol 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Salzburg 16 8 5 3 +14 +4.3 29
2 Sturm Graz 16 9 1 6 +6 +4.6 28
3 LASK 16 8 2 6 +2 -1.1 26
4 Wolfsberger AC 16 7 3 6 +5 -2.0 24
5 SK Rapid 16 7 3 6 +0 -1.4 24
6 Hartberg 16 6 5 5 +3 -2.5 23
7 Austria Vienna 16 7 2 7 -3 -1.8 23
8 Ried 16 7 2 7 -3 -1.7 23
9 Altach 16 5 6 5 +2 +1.0 21
10 Tirol 16 5 6 5 -1 +5.4 21
11 Grazer AK 16 3 6 7 -11 -1.5 15
12 BW Linz 16 3 1 12 -14 -3.5 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Aug -25 Tirol – Hartberg 4–2 17. May -25 Hartberg – Tirol 3–2 5. Apr -25 Tirol – Hartberg 1–3 9. Feb -25 Tirol – Hartberg 0–0 26. Sep -24 Hartberg – Tirol 1–0

Match report

Hartberg Tirol
28′
🔁 Y. Votter
↦ M. Taferner
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Ademola Ola-Adebomi
48′
⚽ M. Wels 0–1
N. Baden Frederiksen
51′
🟨 Yannick Votter
51′
🟥 David Kubatta
59′
🔁 T. Anselm
↦ A. Ola-Adebomi
Habib Anas Coulibaly 🟨
61′
1–1 J. Heil ⚽
Y. Diarra
64′
D. Prokop 🔁
↦ T. Kainz
66′
L. Fridrikas 🔁
↦ M. Hoffmann
66′
J. Drew 🔁
↦ D. Kovacevic
66′
2–1 E. Havel ⚽
70′
Youba Diarra 🟨
71′
78′
🔁 L. Hinterseer
↦ N. Baden Frederiksen
P. Mijic 🔁
↦ E. Havel
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hartberg

5-3-2
1 A. Helac G
95 D. Kovacevic D
28 J. Heil D
19 L. Spendlhofer D
6 H. Coulibaly D
3 D. Vincze D
23 T. Kainz M
4 B. Markus M
5 Y. Diarra M
7 E. Havel F
22 M. Hoffmann
Bench (9)
21 L. Maric
8 J. Halwachs
9 P. Mijic
10 D. Prokop
11 M. Fillafer
16 J. Golles
30 L. Fridrikas
61 M. Aziz
79 J. Drew

Coach: Manfred Schmid

Tirol

3-4-2-1
40 A. Stejskal G
23 M. Boras D
5 J. Lawrence D
14 D. Kubatta D
17 J. Naschberger M
4 V. Muller M
30 M. Taferner M
20 B. Bockle M
8 N. Baden Frederiksen F
37 M. Wels F
9 A. Ola-Adebomi F
Bench (9)
13 A. Eckmayr
3 D. Gugganig
27 D. Jaunegg
28 T. Geris
21 Y. Votter
19 C. Huetz
16 L. Hinterseer
15 M. Bambara
11 T. Anselm

Coach: Philipp Semlic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.