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Bundesliga

Referee: Julian Weinberger

Hartberg

T T T S T

0–2

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,28 xG 1,48

46% Possession 54%

6 Shots 20

2 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 9

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hartberg 11. · Sturm Graz 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wolfsberger AC	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
2	LASK	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.3	3
3	Altach	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.6	3
4	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.2	3
6	Grazer AK	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.4	3
7	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
8	Ried	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
9	A. Lustenau	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.5	1
10	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.4	1
11	Hartberg	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.2	0
12	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wolfsberger AC	1	1	0	+3	+2.2	3
2	LASK	1	1	0	+3	+1.3	3
3	Altach	1	1	0	+2	+0.9	3
4	Grazer AK	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	3
5	SK Rapid	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Salzburg	1	1	0	+1	+3.2	3
7	Tirol	1	0	1	+0	-1.5	1
8	A. Lustenau	1	0	1	+0	-1.6	1

#	Team	K	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	1	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
2	Ried	1	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
3	A. Lustenau	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
4	Altach	1	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
5	Hartberg	1	0	1	-1	-3.2	0
6	Tirol	1	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
7	Austria Vienna	1	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
8	Grazer AK	1	0	1	-3	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.