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Bundesliga

Referee: Manuel Baumann

A. Lustenau

U U T S U

0–4

Full-time

Tirol

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

A. Lustenau Tirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,04 xG 2,43

52% Possession 48%

8 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 12

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match A. Lustenau 5. · Tirol 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	SK Rapid	3	3	0	0	+10	+5.0	9
2	LASK	3	3	0	0	+8	+5.9	9
3	Sturm Graz	4	2	2	0	+3	+4.0	8
4	Salzburg	3	2	1	0	+4	+6.5	7
5	A. Lustenau	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.9	5
6	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	1	1	+2	-2.2	4
7	Ried	4	1	1	2	-3	+0.4	4
8	Altach	4	1	0	3	-1	+1.2	3
9	Austria Vienna	3	1	0	2	-3	-5.2	3
10	Hartberg	4	1	0	3	-4	-5.3	3
11	Grazer AK	4	1	0	3	-11	-5.3	3
12	Tirol	3	0	1	2	-5	-3.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	SK Rapid	2	2	0	0	+9	+4.7	6
2	LASK	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.6	6
3	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	1	0	+3	-0.4	4
4	A. Lustenau	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
5	Sturm Graz	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.2	4
6	Altach	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.5	3
7	Grazer AK	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
8	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.2	3
9	Ried	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
10	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.2	1
11	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	-2	-3.2	0
12	Hartberg	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.2	4
2	Sturm Graz	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.7	4
3	LASK	1	1	0	0	+2	+3.2	3
4	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
5	Hartberg	2	1	0	1	+0	-3.9	3
6	Austria Vienna	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
7	A. Lustenau	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
8	Ried	2	0	1	1	-3	+0.3	1
9	Wolfsberger AC	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
10	Tirol	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
11	Altach	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.3	0
12	Grazer AK	3	0	0	3	-12	-6.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.