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Bundesliga
Referee: A Sadikovski
Hartberg
U S U S U
3–2
Full-time
Tirol
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 27%
30%
23%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 52%
57%
47%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 7. · Tirol 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 30 19 5 6 +29 62
2 Austria Vienna 30 17 5 8 +14 56
3 Wolfsberger AC 30 16 6 8 +23 54
4 LASK 30 16 5 9 +16 53
5 Salzburg 30 14 9 7 +14 51
6 SK Rapid 30 11 8 11 +1 41
7 Hartberg 30 9 11 10 -2 38
8 BW Linz 30 11 4 15 -7 37
9 Tirol 30 7 8 15 -14 29
10 A. Klagenfurt 30 6 8 16 -36 26
11 Altach 30 5 9 16 -17 24
12 Grazer AK 30 4 12 14 -21 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hartberg Tirol
27′
L. Hinterseer 0–1
B. Blume
36′
ℹ️ Valentino Müller
VAR: Goal cancelled
J. Heil 🔁
↦ Y. Diarra
41′
Half-time 0–1
M. Hoffmann 🔁
↦ P. Mijić
46′
J. Drew 🔁
↦ D. Prokop
46′
M. Husković 🔁
↦ D. Avdijaj
46′
Marco Hoffmann ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
52′
Furkan Demir 🟨
53′
59′
🔁 Y. Vötter
↦ S. Škrbo
63′
🟨 David Jaunegg
67′
🟨 Yannick Votter
0–2 V. Müller
own goal
71′
Valentino Müller ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
73′
Benjamin Markuš 🟨
77′
1–2 M. Husković
M. Hoffmann
83′
84′
🔁 T. Anselm
↦ L. Hinterseer
84′
🔁 J. Naschberger
↦ C. Üstündag
89′
B. Blume 1–3
V. Müller
91′
🔁 M. Diarra
↦ M. Taferner
91′
🔁 M. Bambara
↦ D. Jaunegg
R. Hofer 🔁
↦ D. Kovacevic
93′
2–3 J. Drew
B. Markuš
93′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Hartberg

5-3-2
1 R. Sallinger G
95 D. Kovacevic D
14 P. Komposch D
4 B. Markuš D
6 M. Karamatić D
61 F. Demir D
23 T. Kainz M
5 Y. Diarra M
27 D. Prokop M
9 P. Mijić F
10 D. Avdijaj F
Bench (7)
28 J. Heil
22 M. Hoffmann
79 J. Drew
33 M. Husković
19 R. Hofer
7 E. Havel
21 L. Marić

Coach: M. Schmid

Tirol

3-4-2-1
40 A. Stejskal G
27 D. Jaunegg D
24 J. David D
3 D. Gugganig D
7 Q. Butler M
30 M. Taferner M
4 V. Müller M
20 C. Üstündag M
10 B. Blume F
23 S. Škrbo F
16 L. Hinterseer F
Bench (7)
21 Y. Vötter
11 T. Anselm
17 J. Naschberger
8 M. Diarra
15 M. Bambara
1 P. Schermer
14 A. Ranacher

Coach: P. Semlic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Sadikovski · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.