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Bundesliga
Referee: Stefan Ebner
Tirol
U S T U T
1–1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,60 xG 2,13
42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 6
1 Offside 9
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Feb -26 Tirol – Sturm Graz 1–0 3. Dec -25 Sturm Graz – Tirol 1–3 7. Dec -24 Tirol – Sturm Graz 0–3 31. Aug -24 Sturm Graz – Tirol 4–2 25. Feb -24 Tirol – Sturm Graz 0–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.