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Serie B

Referee: M Monaldi

Carrarese

U T U S U

2–2

Full-time

Catanzaro

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Catanzaro

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 30%

28%

31%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

44%

47%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

13 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

12 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

24 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Carrarese 11. · Catanzaro 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	32	22	6	4	+37	72
2	Pisa	32	18	7	7	+21	61
3	Spezia	32	15	13	4	+24	58
4	Cremonese	32	14	10	8	+16	52
5	Juve Stabia	32	13	10	9	+2	49
6	Catanzaro	32	10	17	5	+8	47
7	Palermo	33	12	9	12	+7	45
8	Bari	33	9	17	7	+4	44
9	Cesena	32	11	10	11	+1	43
10	Modena	32	9	14	9	+2	41
11	Carrarese	32	9	10	13	-9	37
12	Frosinone	32	8	13	11	-11	37
13	Mantova	32	8	12	12	-9	36
14	Cittadella	32	9	9	14	-20	36
15	Sudtirol	32	9	8	15	-10	35
16	Brescia	32	7	13	12	-7	34
17	Reggiana	32	7	11	14	-11	32
18	Sampdoria	32	6	14	12	-12	32
19	Salernitana	32	7	9	16	-14	30
20	Cosenza	32	6	12	14	-19	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	16	13	2	1	+27	41
2	Pisa	16	11	3	2	+17	36
3	Spezia	16	10	4	2	+16	34
4	Juve Stabia	16	9	3	4	+6	30
5	Catanzaro	17	7	8	2	+12	29
6	Carrarese	16	8	4	4	+4	28
7	Cesena	16	7	6	3	+7	27
8	Bari	17	6	9	2	+5	27
9	Modena	15	6	7	2	+7	25
10	Palermo	16	7	4	5	+6	25
11	Cremonese	16	6	6	4	+5	24
12	Mantova	15	6	5	4	+1	23
13	Salernitana	16	6	4	6	+0	22
14	Frosinone	17	4	8	5	-6	20
15	Reggiana	16	4	6	6	-2	18
16	Sampdoria	16	4	6	6	-4	18
17	Sudtirol	16	4	6	6	-5	18
18	Cosenza	16	4	6	6	-7	18
19	Brescia	16	3	8	5	-1	17
20	Cittadella	16	2	7	7	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	16	9	4	3	+10	31
2	Cremonese	16	8	4	4	+11	28
3	Pisa	16	7	4	5	+4	25
4	Spezia	16	5	9	2	+8	24
5	Cittadella	16	7	2	7	-10	23
6	Palermo	17	5	5	7	+1	20
7	Juve Stabia	16	4	7	5	-4	19
8	Catanzaro	15	3	9	3	-4	18
9	Bari	16	3	8	5	-1	17
10	Sudtirol	16	5	2	9	-5	17
11	Frosinone	15	4	5	6	-5	17
12	Brescia	16	4	5	7	-6	17
13	Modena	17	3	7	7	-5	16
14	Cesena	16	4	4	8	-6	16
15	Sampdoria	16	2	8	6	-8	14
16	Reggiana	16	3	5	8	-9	14
17	Mantova	17	2	7	8	-10	13
18	Cosenza	16	2	6	8	-12	12
19	Carrarese	16	1	6	9	-13	9
20	Salernitana	16	1	5	10	-14	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.