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Ekstraklasa
Referee: J Przybył
Warta Poznan
T S U U T
0–0
Full-time
Cracovia
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 68%
60%
75%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,07 xG 0,57
46% Possession 54%
2 Shots 13
0 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 8
9 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Warta Poznan 14. · Cracovia 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Legia 4 3 1 0 +7 +0.9 10
2 Zaglebie 5 3 1 1 +2 +0.2 10
3 Jagiellonia 4 3 0 1 +2 +0.6 9
4 Radomiak Radom 6 3 0 3 +0 +1.2 9
5 Cracovia 4 2 2 0 +2 -1.5 8
6 Stal Mielec 6 2 2 2 +1 -2.4 8
7 Rakow 4 2 1 1 +4 +3.2 7
8 Slask Wroclaw 5 2 1 2 +1 -1.4 7
9 Lech Poznan 4 2 1 1 +1 -2.6 7
10 Widzew Lodz 6 2 1 3 -2 -0.4 7
11 Piast Gliwice 5 1 3 1 +0 +5.7 6
12 Pogon Szczecin 4 2 0 2 -1 +2.5 6
13 LKS Lodz 5 2 0 3 -4 6
14 Warta Poznan 5 1 2 2 +0 +2.1 5
15 Gornik Zabrze 5 1 2 2 -3 -3.5 5
16 Ruch Chorzow 5 1 1 3 -3 -1.7 4
17 Puszcza 5 1 1 3 -4 -2.7 4
18 Korona Kielce 4 0 1 3 -3 -0.2 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Warta Poznan Cracovia
4′
🟨 Jani Atanasov
Mateusz Kupczak 🟨
19′
Half-time 0–0
Kajetan Szmyt 🟨
69′
W. Pleśnierowicz 🔁
↦ D. Stavrópoulos
69′
N. Mäenpää 🔁
↦ M. Kupczak
70′
F. Borowski 🔁
↦ J. Bartkowski
70′
78′
🔁 K. Knap
↦ J. Atanasov
M. Kopczyński 🔁
↦ D. Vizinger
80′
K. Matuszewski 🔁
↦ J. Kiełb
83′
87′
🔁 J. Myszor
↦ T. Oshima
Michał Kopczyński 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Warta Poznan

3-4-3
33 J. Grobelny G
44 D. Szymonowicz D
4 D. Stavrópoulos D
16 Miguel Luís D
2 J. Bartkowski M
21 M. Kupczak M
77 S. Savić M
3 J. Kiełb M
99 A. Zreľák F
7 K. Szmyt F
29 D. Vizinger F
Bench (9)
34 W. Pleśnierowicz
8 N. Mäenpää
28 F. Borowski
15 M. Kopczyński
22 K. Matuszewski
97 W. Kamiński
6 M. Żurawski
31 O. Krzyżak
12 M. Kustosz

Coach: D. Szulczek

Cracovia

3-5-2
13 S. Madejski G
22 A. Hoskonen D
24 J. Jugas D
5 V. Ghiță D
2 C. Râpă M
18 T. Oshima M
10 M. Rakoczy M
6 J. Atanasov M
17 M. Bochnak M
7 P. Makuch F
9 B. Källman F
Bench (9)
20 K. Knap
38 J. Myszor
73 P. Zaucha
31 L. Hroššo
87 O. Hyla
14 S. Łusiusz
36 K. Jodłowski
55 M. Stachera
21 K. Śmiglewski

Coach: J. Zieliński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Przybył · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.