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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Bacher

Elversberg

T U T T T

0–5

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

4,0

1,3

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

2,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elversberg 17. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	4	3	0	1	+2	9
2	Hamburg	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Magdeburg	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Wehen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Hansa Rostock	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Kaiserslautern	4	2	0	2	-2	6
7	Hannover	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	St Pauli	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Greuther Furth	3	1	1	1	+4	4
10	Karlsruhe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-5	4
14	Braunschweig	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Schalke 04	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Osnabruck	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Elversberg	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Hertha	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Greuther Furth	2	1	1	0	+5	4
3	Wehen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Hansa Rostock	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Kaiserslautern	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Braunschweig	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Holstein Kiel	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Karlsruhe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Osnabruck	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Magdeburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Hannover	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Hansa Rostock	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Wehen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Kaiserslautern	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Paderborn	2	1	0	1	-4	3
11	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Osnabruck	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Elversberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.