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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Gryckiewicz

Warta Poznan

U T T S U

2–2

Full-time

Ruch Chorzow

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Ruch Chorzow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 29%

17%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

33%

40%

Both score Ø 35%

50%

20%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,06 xG 0,95

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Warta Poznan 12. · Ruch Chorzow 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	3	2	1	0	+6	–	7
2	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+3	-3.1	7
3	Cracovia	3	2	1	0	+2	–	7
4	Zaglebie	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.3	7
5	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
6	Radomiak Radom	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.7	6
7	Widzew Lodz	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.8	6
8	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.5	6
9	Stal Mielec	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.7	5
10	Piast Gliwice	4	1	2	1	+0	+4.2	5
11	Rakow	3	1	1	1	+2	+2.0	4
12	Warta Poznan	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.8	4
13	Puszcza	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.8	4
14	Gornik Zabrze	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.1	4
15	Ruch Chorzow	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.3	3
16	LKS Lodz	4	1	0	3	-5	–	3
17	Korona Kielce	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.7	1
18	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
2	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
3	Widzew Lodz	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.4	6
4	Stal Mielec	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.6	5
5	Rakow	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.0	4
6	Zaglebie	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
7	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
8	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
9	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
10	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
11	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
12	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
13	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.6	3
14	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	-1	+2.4	3
15	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
16	Gornik Zabrze	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
17	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
18	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.7	6
2	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+1	-3.6	4
3	Cracovia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
4	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.0	3
6	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	3
7	Piast Gliwice	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
8	Warta Poznan	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
9	Legia	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
10	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
11	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
12	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
13	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
14	Widzew Lodz	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.2	0
15	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0
16	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.9	0
17	Ruch Chorzow	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.3	0
18	LKS Lodz	3	0	0	3	-6	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.