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Ligue 2

Referee: B Lepaysant

Bastia

U T U S T

3–2

Full-time

Troyes

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%

24 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bastia 10. · Troyes 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caen	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Amiens	4	3	0	1	+1	9
3	Grenoble	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Bordeaux	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Pau FC	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Laval	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Troyes	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Ajaccio	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Auxerre	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Bastia	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Annecy	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Rodez	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Dunkerque	3	1	1	1	-2	4
15	St Etienne	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Angers	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Concarneau	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Valenciennes	3	0	1	2	-6	1
19	Quevilly Rouen	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Paris FC	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Amiens	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Laval	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Grenoble	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Caen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Rodez	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Annecy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Angers	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Ajaccio	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Concarneau	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Valenciennes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Paris FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caen	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Auxerre	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Ajaccio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Amiens	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Dunkerque	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Troyes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Annecy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bastia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Rodez	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Concarneau	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Quevilly Rouen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Laval	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Pau FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Valenciennes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Paris FC	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.