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Serie B
Referee: M Gualtieri
FeralpiSalo
S T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Sudtirol
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FeralpiSalo Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
80%
33%
Both score Ø 65%
80%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
6,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
7 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FeralpiSalo 15. · Sudtirol 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Venezia 2 1 1 0 +3 4
2 Cosenza 2 1 1 0 +3 4
3 Parma 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Pisa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Cittadella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Sampdoria 2 1 0 1 -1 3
7 Sudtirol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Spezia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Cremonese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Catanzaro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Bari 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Palermo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Reggiana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 FeralpiSalo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Como 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Ascoli 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FeralpiSalo Sudtirol
23′
R. Odogwu 0–1
N. Rauti
Mattia Compagnon 🟨
32′
Luca Ceppitelli 🟨
40′
42′
🟨 Andrea Masiello
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Broh
↦ R. Kofler
46′
🔁 S. Merkaj
↦ N. Rauti
A. Pilati 🔁
↦ L. Ceppitelli
55′
63′
🟨 Raphael Odogwu
M. Felici 🔁
↦ M. Compagnon
63′
D. Di Molfetta 🔁
↦ M. Sau
63′
72′
🔁 L. Lonardi
↦ R. Odogwu
77′
🔁 E. Pecorino
↦ M. Rover
K. Butić 🔁
↦ D. Hergheligiu
81′
M. Tonetto 🔁
↦ B. Martella
81′
82′
S. Merkaj 0–2
D. Casiraghi
84′
🟨 Simone Davì
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

FeralpiSalo

4-3-3
1 S. Pizzignacco G
66 F. Bergonzi D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
6 L. Bacchetti D
87 B. Martella D
27 D. Hergheligiu M
21 F. Carraro M
8 D. Balestrero M
14 M. Compagnon F
91 A. La Mantia F
25 M. Sau F
Bench (12)
19 A. Pilati
97 M. Felici
10 D. Di Molfetta
9 K. Butić
3 M. Tonetto
29 M. Verzelletti
2 G. Ferrarini
61 G. Volpe
36 A. Franzolini
4 M. Musatti
34 S. Minelli
77 B. Gjyla

Coach: S. Vecchi

Sudtirol

4-4-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
30 A. Giorgini D
5 K. Vinetot D
55 A. Masiello D
24 S. Davì D
18 M. Rover M
21 F. Tait M
28 R. Kofler M
17 D. Casiraghi M
23 N. Rauti F
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (11)
15 J. Broh
33 S. Merkaj
77 L. Lonardi
9 E. Pecorino
26 A. Cisco
12 G. Drago
6 L. Ghiringhelli
3 A. Cagnano
27 C. Shiba
22 S. Dregan
11 R. Ciervo

Coach: P. Bisoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,59
U
3,06
B ✓
2,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Gualtieri · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.