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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
Rodez
U T U S T
0–1
Full-time
Valenciennes
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Valenciennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
19 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 13. · Valenciennes 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Amiens 4 3 0 1 +1 9
3 Grenoble 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Bordeaux 4 2 1 1 +0 7
5 Pau FC 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 Laval 3 2 0 1 +0 6
7 Troyes 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Ajaccio 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Auxerre 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Bastia 3 1 1 1 +2 4
11 Guingamp 3 1 1 1 +2 4
12 Annecy 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Rodez 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Dunkerque 3 1 1 1 -2 4
15 St Etienne 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Angers 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Concarneau 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Valenciennes 3 0 1 2 -6 1
19 Quevilly Rouen 3 0 0 3 -3 0
20 Paris FC 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Valenciennes
6′
A. Boutoutaou 0–1
A. Linguet
Half-time 0–1
56′
🔁 T. Diagouraga
↦ A. Boutoutaou
58′
🟨 Ugo Bonnet
L. Buadés 🔁
↦ W. Younoussa
62′
62′
🔁 J. Cuffaut
↦ A. Linguet
62′
🔁 S. Boudraa
↦ I. Hamache
G. Haag 🔁
↦ A. Valério
63′
T. Arconte 🔁
↦ A. Hountondji
63′
Ahmad Toure Ngouyamsa 🟨
66′
74′
🟨 Tidyane Diagouraga
Tairyk Arconte 🟨
75′
Y. Verdier 🔁
↦ A. Ngouyamsa
78′
84′
🟨 Jordan Poha
85′
🔁 N. Venema
↦ U. Bonnet
R. Lipinski 🔁
↦ J. Chougrani
87′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Rodez

3-5-2
16 L. Mpasi G
14 B. Danger D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
21 J. Chougrani D
6 A. Ngouyamsa M
7 W. Younoussa M
18 A. Valério M
10 W. Taïbi M
28 A. Abdallah M
17 A. Hountondji F
12 K. Corredor F
Bench (7)
19 L. Buadés
24 G. Haag
22 T. Arconte
26 Y. Verdier
3 R. Lipinski
1 S. Cibois
4 S. Mambo

Coach: D. Santini

Valenciennes

5-3-2
16 J. Louchet G
24 A. Linguet D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
5 J. Poha D
4 T. Moore D
15 L. Woudenberg D
17 A. Boutoutaou M
23 D. Kruse M
6 J. Masson M
11 U. Bonnet F
20 I. Hamache F
Bench (7)
47 T. Diagouraga
14 J. Cuffaut
7 S. Boudraa
10 N. Venema
44 J. Sanda
9 M. Noubissi
30 L. Diabate

Coach: A. Kantari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,95
U
3,24
B ✓
4,07
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.