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Premiership

Referee: C Graham

Motherwell

S U S U S

2–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,2

This season — Premiership · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

0,5

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

1 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 19

6 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 5. · Kilmarnock 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	3	2	0	1	+5	6
2	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	St Mirren	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Hearts	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Motherwell	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Kilmarnock	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Ross County	3	1	0	2	-2	3
8	Dundee	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Aberdeen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
10	Livingston	2	0	1	1	-4	1
11	Hibernian	2	0	0	2	-2	0
12	ST Johnstone	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	St Mirren	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Motherwell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Kilmarnock	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ross County	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Dundee	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Livingston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Hearts	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Hibernian	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	ST Johnstone	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Hearts	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	St Mirren	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Rangers	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Motherwell	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Aberdeen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Kilmarnock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Dundee	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Hibernian	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Ross County	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	ST Johnstone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Livingston	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.