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Serie A

Referee: M Mariani

Milan

T S S S S

4–1

Full-time

Torino

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Torino

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

0,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

3,04 xG 0,48

59% Possession 41%

17 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 4. · Torino 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
4	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
5	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
6	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
7	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
8	Verona	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
9	Monza	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
10	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.5	3
11	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.8	1
12	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.8	1
13	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
14	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
15	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
16	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
17	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
18	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0
19	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0
20	Empoli	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
2	Monza	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
3	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
4	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.5	3
5	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.8	1
6	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
7	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
8	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
9	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
10	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0
11	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
4	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
5	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
6	Verona	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
7	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.8	1
8	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
9	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
10	Monza	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
11	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.