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Ekstraklasa

Referee: K Jakubik

Warta Poznan

T T U T T

2–0

Full-time

Gornik Zabrze

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Gornik Zabrze

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,20 xG 1,29

30% Possession 70%

12 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

12 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Warta Poznan 15. · Gornik Zabrze 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
2	Legia	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
3	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
4	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
5	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
6	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	-3.6	3
7	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
8	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
9	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
10	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
11	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
12	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
13	Puszcza	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
14	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+3.6	0
15	Warta Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
16	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
17	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0
18	LKS Lodz	2	0	0	2	-5	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
2	Legia	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
3	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
4	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
5	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
7	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
8	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+3.6	0
9	Warta Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
10	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
2	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	-3.6	3
3	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
4	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
5	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
6	Puszcza	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
7	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
8	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0
9	LKS Lodz	2	0	0	2	-5	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.