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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Gryckiewicz

Puszcza

T T S U T

2–1

Full-time

LKS Lodz

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Puszcza LKS Lodz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 40%

60%

20%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,6

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

14 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 8

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Puszcza 17. · LKS Lodz 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	4	3	1	0	+7	+0.9	10
2	Zaglebie	5	3	1	1	+2	+0.2	10
3	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+2	+0.6	9
4	Cracovia	5	2	3	0	+2	-1.0	9
5	Radomiak Radom	6	3	0	3	+0	+1.2	9
6	Stal Mielec	6	2	2	2	+1	-2.4	8
7	Rakow	4	2	1	1	+4	+3.2	7
8	Slask Wroclaw	5	2	1	2	+1	-1.4	7
9	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.6	7
10	Widzew Lodz	6	2	1	3	-2	-0.4	7
11	Warta Poznan	6	1	3	2	+0	+1.6	6
12	Piast Gliwice	5	1	3	1	+0	+5.7	6
13	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.5	6
14	LKS Lodz	5	2	0	3	-4	–	6
15	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	2	2	-3	-3.5	5
16	Ruch Chorzow	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.7	4
17	Puszcza	5	1	1	3	-4	-2.7	4
18	Korona Kielce	4	0	1	3	-3	-0.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	3	3	0	0	+7	+0.9	9
2	Stal Mielec	4	2	2	0	+4	-1.2	8
3	Rakow	3	2	1	0	+5	+3.2	7
4	Zaglebie	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.2	7
5	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
6	LKS Lodz	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
7	Widzew Lodz	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.5	6
8	Warta Poznan	4	1	2	1	+1	+1.4	5
9	Cracovia	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.5	4
10	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
11	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
12	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.5	3
13	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
14	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.6	3
15	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.2	3
16	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	-1	+2.4	3
17	Gornik Zabrze	3	0	2	1	-2	-2.5	2
18	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.3	6
2	Cracovia	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.5	5
3	Slask Wroclaw	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
4	Lech Poznan	3	1	1	1	-1	-3.0	4
5	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.0	3
6	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
7	Piast Gliwice	3	0	3	0	+0	+2.1	3
8	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	3
9	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.7	3
10	Legia	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
11	Warta Poznan	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
12	Widzew Lodz	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.8	1
13	Ruch Chorzow	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.4	1
14	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
15	Korona Kielce	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.9	0
16	Stal Mielec	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.2	0
17	Puszcza	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.8	0
18	LKS Lodz	3	0	0	3	-6	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.