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Serie B
Referee: S Sozza
Modena
T U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Ascoli
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Ascoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Venezia 2 1 1 0 +3 4
2 Cosenza 2 1 1 0 +3 4
3 Parma 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Pisa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Cittadella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Sampdoria 2 1 0 1 -1 3
7 Sudtirol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Spezia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Cremonese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Catanzaro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Bari 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Palermo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Reggiana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 FeralpiSalo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Como 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Ascoli 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Mar -23 Modena – Ascoli 0–1 8. Oct -22 Ascoli – Modena 1–2

Match report

Modena Ascoli
Matteo Cotali 🟨
21′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Erdis Kraja
L. Strizzolo 🔁
↦ N. Bonfanti
56′
1–0 L. Strizzolo ⚽
J. Manconi
59′
61′
🔁 M. Falzerano
↦ V. Millico
61′
🔁 G. Manzari
↦ E. Kraja
D. Falcinelli 🔁
↦ J. Manconi
67′
M. Gargiulo 🔁
↦ L. Tremolada
68′
79′
🔁 F. Dionisi
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
79′
🔁 E. Gnahoré
↦ F. Caligara
85′
🔁 S. D'Uffizi
↦ P. Masini
E. Duca 🔁
↦ M. Cotali
90′
F. Ponsi 🔁
↦ A. Palumbo
90′
97′
🟥 Danilo Quaranta
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Modena

4-3-1-2
26 R. Gagno G
99 S. Oukhadda D
19 G. Zaro D
4 A. Pergreffi D
29 M. Cotali D
6 L. Magnino M
16 F. Gerli M
5 A. Palumbo M
10 L. Tremolada M
9 N. Bonfanti F
17 J. Manconi F
Bench (12)
32 L. Strizzolo
11 D. Falcinelli
20 M. Gargiulo
7 E. Duca
3 F. Ponsi
33 C. Cauz
90 F. Abiuso
15 T. Silvestri
8 A. Guiébré
23 T. Battistella
12 A. Seculin
21 R. Giovannini

Coach: P. Bianco

Ascoli

4-3-2-1
2 E. Viviano G
17 C. Adjapong D
33 Eric Botteghin D
14 D. Quaranta D
8 S. Giovane D
10 F. Caligara M
6 E. Kraja M
73 P. Masini M
99 Pablo Rodríguez M
7 V. Millico M
90 Pedro Mendes F
Bench (11)
23 M. Falzerano
28 G. Manzari
9 F. Dionisi
5 E. Gnahoré
15 S. D'Uffizi
12 L. Bolletta
98 F. Cozzoli
27 M. Eramo
3 K. Haveri
21 L. Cosimi
1 D. Barosi

Coach: W. Viali

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
🔒
U
3,27
🔒
B
4,28
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,21
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,64
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.