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Serie A

Referee: G Aureliano

Monza

S T T T T

2–0

Full-time

Empoli

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Empoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,99 xG 0,97

54% Possession 46%

20 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monza 18. · Empoli 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
6	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
7	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
8	Verona	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
9	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.8	1
10	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.8	1
11	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
13	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
14	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
15	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0
16	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
17	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
18	Monza	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
19	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0
20	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
2	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
3	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.8	1
4	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
5	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
6	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0
7	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
8	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
9	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0
10	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
6	Verona	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
7	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.8	1
8	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
9	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
10	Monza	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.