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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sánchez
Elche
U S U T T
1–0
Full-time
Villarreal B
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Villarreal B
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,7
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
19 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 20. · Villarreal B 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zaragoza 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Levante 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Andorra 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Tenerife 3 2 0 1 +2 6
5 Espanol 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Ferrol 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Burgos 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Santander 2 1 0 1 +2 3
9 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Sp Gijon 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Leganes 2 1 0 1 +1 3
12 Valladolid 2 1 0 1 +1 3
13 Villarreal B 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Eldense 2 1 0 1 -1 3
15 Eibar 2 1 0 1 -3 3
16 Albacete 2 0 2 0 +0 2
17 Amorebieta 2 0 2 0 +0 2
18 Huesca 2 0 1 1 -2 1
19 Oviedo 3 0 1 2 -2 1
20 Elche 2 0 0 2 -2 0
21 Cartagena 3 0 0 3 -3 0
22 Alcorcon 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Villarreal B
1–0 Fidel
9′
Raúl Guti 🔁
↦ Cristian Salvador
38′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Rodri Alonso
↦ Hugo Pérez
Aleix Febas 🔁
↦ Fidel
58′
L. Boyé 🔁
↦ Mourad
58′
71′
🔁 Reque
↦ Lanchi
71′
🔁 A. Ferrari
↦ Álex Forés
72′
🔁 T. Geralnik
↦ Javi Ontiveros
78′
🔁 Diego Collado
↦ Carlos Romero
Josan 🟨
84′
José Salinas 🔁
↦ Tete Morente
84′
Óscar Plano 🔁
↦ N. Castro
84′
Carlos Clerc 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Elche

4-1-4-1
13 Edgar Badia G
17 Josan D
2 Mario Gaspar D
6 Bigas D
23 Clerc D
20 Cristian Salvador M
22 N. Fernández Mercau M
21 N. Castro M
16 Fidel M
11 Tete Morente M
19 Mourad F
Bench (10)
8 Raúl Guti
14 Aleix Febas
9 L. Boyé
12 José Salinas
7 Óscar Plano
4 Diego González
30 Rodrigo Mendoza
3 L. Blanco
1 Miguel San Román
29 Nordin

Coach: S. Beccacece

Villarreal B

5-3-2
1 Iker Álvarez G
16 Lanchi D
29 Espigares D
4 Hugo Pérez D
5 Abraham del Moral D
18 Carlos Romero D
11 Jorge Pascual M
6 Alberto del Moral M
8 Carlo Adriano M
10 Javi Ontiveros F
9 Álex Forés F
Bench (10)
21 Rodri Alonso
27 Reque
24 A. Ferrari
22 T. Geralnik
7 Diego Collado
17 Fabio Blanco
14 Aitor Gelardo
35 Rubén Gómez
30 Víctor Moreno
33 Pau Navarro

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
3,73
B
6,16
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.