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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Stefanski
Cracovia
T U S U S
2–1
Full-time
Zaglebie
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Zaglebie
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Cracovia 8. · Zaglebie 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 3 2 1 0 +3 -3.1 7
2 Zaglebie 3 2 1 0 +2 +0.3 7
3 Legia 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Pogon Szczecin 2 2 0 0 +2 +2.5 6
5 Jagiellonia 3 2 0 1 +1 +0.3 6
6 Rakow 2 1 1 0 +3 +2.0 4
7 Warta Poznan 3 1 1 1 +1 +0.8 4
8 Cracovia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Widzew Lodz 3 1 0 2 -1 -1.8 3
10 Radomiak Radom 3 1 0 2 -1 +0.7 3
11 Ruch Chorzow 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.3 3
12 Puszcza 3 1 0 2 -3 -2.8 3
13 LKS Lodz 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 Stal Mielec 3 0 2 1 -1 -0.7 2
15 Piast Gliwice 3 0 2 1 -1 +4.2 2
16 Korona Kielce 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.7 1
17 Slask Wroclaw 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.7 1
18 Gornik Zabrze 3 0 1 2 -4 -2.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Zaglebie
2′
🟨 M. Nalepa
9′
🟨 B. Kludka
1–0 P. Makuch
B. Källman
10′
2–0 P. Makuch
T. Oshima
35′
Half-time 2–0
55′
🟨 K. Chodyna
56′
🔁 S. Buletsa
↦ T. Pieńko
56′
🔁 M. Wdowiak
↦ D. Bohar
68′
🔁 K. Kruk
↦ M. Nalepa
68′
🔁 A. Woźniak
↦ D. Kurminowski
T. Oshima 🟨
73′
M. Bochnak 🔁
↦ B. Källman
75′
O. Kakabadze 🔁
↦ M. Rakoczy
75′
77′
🟨 J. Buric
K. Śmiglewski 🔁
↦ P. Makuch
82′
82′
🔁 M. Mróz
↦ T. Makowski
K. Jodłowski 🔁
↦ J. Atanasov
88′
92′
K. Chodyna 2–1
K. Smiglewski 🟨
99′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cracovia

13 S. Madejski
2 C. Râpă
24 J. Jugas
4 P. Jaroszyński
5 V. Ghiță
22 A. Hoskonen
6 J. Atanasov
10 M. Rakoczy
18 T. Oshima
9 B. Källman
7 P. Makuch
Bench (9)
17 M. Bochnak
25 O. Kakabadze
21 K. Śmiglewski
36 K. Jodłowski
72 B. Kolec
55 M. Stachera
63 F. Rózga
73 P. Zaucha
31 L. Hroššo

Coach: J. Zieliński

Zaglebie

22 S. Weirauch
2 B. Kopacz
25 M. Nalepa
13 M. Grzybek
27 B. Kłudka
8 D. Dąbrowski
39 D. Bohar
6 T. Makowski
7 K. Chodyna
21 T. Pieńko
90 D. Kurminowski
Bench (9)
16 S. Buletsa
77 M. Wdowiak
74 K. Kruk
11 A. Woźniak
17 M. Mróz
35 F. Kocaba
1 J. Burić
9 T. Gaprindashvili
31 I. Orlikowski

Coach: W. Fornalik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Stefanski · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.