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Ligue 2
Referee: O Thual
Paris FC
U S T T T
3–0
Full-time
Concarneau
U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Concarneau
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 29%
33%
25%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris FC 20. · Concarneau 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Amiens 4 3 0 1 +1 9
3 Grenoble 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Bordeaux 4 2 1 1 +0 7
5 Pau FC 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 Laval 3 2 0 1 +0 6
7 Troyes 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Ajaccio 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Auxerre 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Bastia 3 1 1 1 +2 4
11 Guingamp 3 1 1 1 +2 4
12 Annecy 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Rodez 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Dunkerque 3 1 1 1 -2 4
15 St Etienne 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Angers 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Concarneau 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Valenciennes 3 0 1 2 -6 1
19 Quevilly Rouen 3 0 0 3 -3 0
20 Paris FC 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris FC Concarneau
1–0 L. Diaby-Fadiga
S. Alakouch
42′
Half-time 1–0
Y. Koré 🔁
↦ S. Alakouch
46′
59′
🔁 Y. Merdji
↦ A. Urie
59′
🔁 I. Matondo
↦ B. Mouazan
59′
🔁 N. Ndombasi
↦ A. Gboho
P. Hamel 🔁
↦ L. Diaby-Fadiga
63′
A. Camara 🔁
↦ Y. Demoncy
63′
69′
🔁 J. Faussurier
↦ A. Georgen
Jules Gaudin 🟨
74′
2–0 P. Hamel
I. Kebbal
75′
3–0 P. Hamel
K. Dabila
84′
J. López 🔁
↦ I. Kebbal
85′
D. Colau 🔁
↦ J. Gaudin
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Paris FC

3-4-1-2
40 I. Filipović G
13 K. Dabila D
31 S. Chergui D
5 M. Mbow D
22 S. Alakouch M
14 C. Mandouki M
18 L. Doucet M
27 J. Gaudin M
8 Y. Demoncy F
10 I. Kebbal F
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga F
Bench (7)
25 Y. Koré
29 P. Hamel
17 A. Camara
20 J. López
33 D. Colau
16 O. Nkambadio
34 D. Diagouraga

Coach: S. Gilli

Concarneau

4-2-3-1
30 E. Salles G
2 A. Georgen D
5 M. Sylla Diallo D
28 I. Paro D
23 R. Sans D
6 A. Phliponeau M
17 M. Etuin M
21 N. Chadli M
20 B. Mouazan M
11 A. Urie M
24 A. Gboho F
Bench (7)
18 Y. Merdji
7 I. Matondo
9 N. Ndombasi
33 J. Faussurier
1 M. Pattier
29 P. Jouan
3 A. Wahib

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,33
U
3,25
B
3,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.