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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
Warta Poznan
T T T U T
0–1
Full-time
Pogon Szczecin
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,55 xG 0,68
29% Possession 71%
9 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Feb -23 Pogon Szczecin – Warta Poznan 3–1 7. Aug -22 Warta Poznan – Pogon Szczecin 1–2 18. Dec -21 Pogon Szczecin – Warta Poznan 1–1 1. Aug -21 Warta Poznan – Pogon Szczecin 1–1 1. May -21 Pogon Szczecin – Warta Poznan 1–1

Match report

Warta Poznan Pogon Szczecin
36′
⚽ E. Koulouris 0–1
M. Wędrychowski
Half-time 0–1
62′
🔁 R. Kurzawa
↦ M. Łęgowski
Wiktor Pleśnierowicz 🟨
69′
69′
🔁 S. Kowalczyk
↦ L. Zahovič
69′
🔁 V. Bichakhchyan
↦ M. Wędrychowski
N. Mäenpää 🔁
↦ Miguel Luís
71′
W. Kamiński 🔁
↦ M. Żurawski
71′
J. Sangowski 🔁
↦ D. Vizinger
79′
J. Wajman 🔁
↦ J. Bartkowski
85′
K. Przybyłko 🔁
↦ J. Kiełb
85′
88′
🔁 A. Gorgon
↦ E. Koulouris
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Warta Poznan

3-4-3
1 A. Lis G
21 M. Kupczak D
44 D. Szymonowicz D
34 W. Pleśnierowicz D
2 J. Bartkowski M
16 Miguel Luís M
6 M. Żurawski M
3 J. Kiełb M
7 K. Szmyt F
29 D. Vizinger F
77 S. Savić F
Bench (9)
8 N. Mäenpää
97 W. Kamiński
19 J. Sangowski
20 J. Wajman
27 K. Przybyłko
17 S. Sarbinowski
35 F. Jakubowski
33 J. Grobelny
25 J. Paszkowski

Coach: D. Szulczek

Pogon Szczecin

4-2-3-1
1 D. Stipica G
28 L. Wahlqvist D
23 B. Zech D
33 M. Malec D
32 L. Koútris D
99 M. Łęgowski M
21 João Gamboa M
15 M. Wędrychowski M
10 L. Zahovič M
11 K. Grosicki M
9 E. Koulouris F
Bench (9)
7 R. Kurzawa
27 S. Kowalczyk
22 V. Bichakhchyan
20 A. Gorgon
4 Léo Borges
83 A. Holewiński
41 P. Stolarski
68 D. Lončar
17 M. Fornalczyk

Coach: J. Gustafsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.