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Ligue 2
Referee: A Taleb
Dunkerque
S U U S T
0–1
Full-time
Angers
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dunkerque 14. · Angers 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Amiens 4 3 0 1 +1 9
3 Grenoble 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Bordeaux 4 2 1 1 +0 7
5 Pau FC 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 Laval 3 2 0 1 +0 6
7 Troyes 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Ajaccio 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Auxerre 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Bastia 3 1 1 1 +2 4
11 Guingamp 3 1 1 1 +2 4
12 Annecy 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Rodez 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Dunkerque 3 1 1 1 -2 4
15 St Etienne 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Angers 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Concarneau 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Valenciennes 3 0 1 2 -6 1
19 Quevilly Rouen 3 0 0 3 -3 0
20 Paris FC 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dunkerque Angers
Rayan Ghrieb 🟨
31′
Ángel Orelien 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 O. Camara
↦ L. Rao-Lisoa
57′
🔁 J. Bahoya
↦ A. Hunou
57′
🔁 I. Niane
↦ J. Kalumba
A. Ipiélé 🔁
↦ Á. Orelién
62′
65′
🟨 Jean-Mattéo Bahoya
J. Anziani 🔁
↦ R. Boissier
72′
77′
🟨 Ibrahima Niane
M. Guel 🔁
↦ T. Keita
81′
E. Bardeli 🔁
↦ R. Ghrieb
81′
83′
🔁 N. Fatar
↦ P. Capelle
Demba Thiam 🟨
94′
95′
H. Abdelli 0–1
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Dunkerque

3-4-3
16 A. Balijon G
7 Y. Bilingi D
28 D. Thiam D
23 H. Gambor D
19 B. Youssouf M
8 T. Keita M
5 R. Boissier M
22 D. Trichard M
27 R. Ghrieb F
21 A. Gnanduillet F
29 Á. Orelién F
Bench (7)
17 A. Ipiélé
10 J. Anziani
14 M. Guel
20 E. Bardeli
1 L. Lavallée
18 L. Etonde
13 J. Senneville

Coach: M. Chabert

Angers

4-2-3-1
30 Y. Fofana G
94 Y. Valery D
25 A. Bamba D
21 J. Lefort D
27 L. Rao-Lisoa D
15 P. Capelle M
8 J. Lopy M
17 J. Kalumba M
10 H. Abdelli M
23 A. Hunou M
9 L. Diony F
Bench (7)
29 O. Camara
24 J. Bahoya
7 I. Niane
19 N. Fatar
12 Z. Ould Khaled
16 M. Zinga
5 M. Courcoul

Coach: A. Dujeux

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,71
U
3,26
B ✓
2,54
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Taleb · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.