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Bundesliga

Referee: H Lechner

Sturm Graz

S T U T S

4–1

Full-time

BW Linz

T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz BW Linz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,2

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-2,0

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

75%

Points per game

2,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

75%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,5

4,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · BW Linz 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Sturm Graz	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	SK Rapid	4	2	1	1	+8	7
4	A. Klagenfurt	4	1	3	0	+2	6
5	Wolfsberger AC	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	LASK	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Hartberg	4	1	2	1	-3	5
8	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	-3	4
9	Altach	4	1	1	2	-5	4
10	A. Lustenau	4	0	2	2	-3	2
11	Tirol	4	0	1	3	-6	1
12	BW Linz	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	LASK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Sturm Graz	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	SK Rapid	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Altach	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	A. Klagenfurt	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
9	Austria Vienna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
10	Hartberg	2	0	1	1	-4	1
11	BW Linz	2	0	1	1	-5	1
12	A. Lustenau	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Sturm Graz	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	SK Rapid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	A. Klagenfurt	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Hartberg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Austria Vienna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	A. Lustenau	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Wolfsberger AC	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	LASK	2	0	1	1	-2	1
10	Altach	2	0	1	1	-4	1
11	BW Linz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
12	Tirol	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.