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LaLiga2
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
Burgos
T T T U T
1–0
Full-time
Oviedo
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Burgos 17. · Oviedo 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Tenerife 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Zaragoza 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Andorra 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Espanol 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Ferrol 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Santander 2 1 0 1 +2 3
8 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Sp Gijon 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Leganes 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Valladolid 2 1 0 1 +1 3
12 Villarreal B 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Eldense 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Eibar 2 1 0 1 -3 3
15 Albacete 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Amorebieta 2 0 2 0 +0 2
17 Burgos 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Oviedo 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Huesca 2 0 1 1 -2 1
20 Elche 2 0 0 2 -2 0
21 Cartagena 3 0 0 3 -3 0
22 Alcorcon 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Oviedo
9′
🟨 Jaime Seoane
Grego 🔁
↦ Unai Elgezabal
11′
1–0 Fer Niño
José Matos
14′
34′
🟨 David Costas
40′
🟨 Jaime Seoane
40′
🟥 Jaime Seoane
Half-time 1–0
Grego Sierra 🟨
49′
60′
🟨 Dani Calvo
64′
🔁 Oier Luengo
↦ Dani Calvo
64′
🔁 Paulino
↦ Mario Hernández
65′
🔁 Jimmy Suárez
↦ Camarasa
Fernando Niño 🟨
71′
K. Appin 🔁
↦ Miguel Atienza
72′
Álex Sancris 🔁
↦ Dani Ojeda
72′
76′
🔁 Borja Bastón
↦ Sebas Moyano
Álex Bermejo 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
86′
Andy 🔁
↦ Ander Martín
86′
Matos 🟨
88′
Curro 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Caro G
6 Raúl Navarro D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
23 José Matos D
7 Dani Ojeda M
5 Miguel Atienza M
22 Miki Muñoz M
8 Ander Martín M
9 Fer Niño F
16 Curro Sánchez F
Bench (10)
20 Grego
12 K. Appin
11 Álex Sancris
10 Álex Bermejo
17 Andy
30 Lucas Ricoy
1 L. Badiashile
27 Javi López
2 Borja González
31 O. El Goumiri

Coach: Bolo

Oviedo

4-4-2
31 Leo Román G
2 Mario Hernández D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
23 Abel Bretones D
7 Viti Rozada M
5 Luismi M
10 Camarasa M
17 Sebas Moyano M
14 Alemão F
16 Jaime Seoane F
Bench (8)
15 Oier Luengo
18 Paulino
6 Jimmy Suárez
9 Borja Bastón
21 Carlos Pomares
34 Yayo
1 Q. Braat
22 R. Ibarra

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,58
U
2,79
B
3,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
3,05
U2,5 ✓
1,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.