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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Lasyk
1–0
Full-time
Jagiellonia
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
7 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 9
1 Offside 6
16 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 10. · Jagiellonia 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cracovia 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Wisla Plock 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Stal Mielec 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Slask Wroclaw 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Legia 3 1 1 1 -1 4
6 Zaglebie 3 1 1 1 -1 4
7 Widzew Lodz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 Gornik Zabrze 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Pogon Szczecin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Warta Poznan 3 1 0 2 -4 3
13 Radomiak Radom 3 0 2 1 -3 2
14 Legnica 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Korona Kielce 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Piast Gliwice 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pogon Szczecin Jagiellonia
1–0 P. Almqvist
8′
38′
🔁 Israel Puerto
↦ M. Pazdan
Half-time 1–0
J. Bartkowski 🔁
↦ L. Zahovič
46′
60′
🔁 M. Kowalski
↦ B. Bida
60′
🔁 Marc Gual
↦ A. Trubeha
V. Bichakhchyan 🔁
↦ P. Almqvist
64′
Jean Carlos 🔁
↦ K. Smoliński
64′
M. Fornalczyk 🔁
↦ M. Kucharczyk
67′
70′
🔁 Nené
↦ O. Wojciechowski
70′
🔁 B. Nastić
↦ Israel Puerto
75′
🟨 Nené
Sebastian Kowalczyk 🟨
78′
M. Malec 🔁
↦ K. Grosicki
80′
Mariusz Fornalczyk 🟨
94′
Dante Stipica 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 Marc Gual
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Pogon Szczecin

4-1-4-1
1 D. Stipica G
41 P. Stolarski D
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos D
23 B. Zech D
18 M. Kucharczyk D
8 D. Dąbrowski M
9 P. Almqvist M
27 S. Kowalczyk M
61 K. Smoliński M
11 K. Grosicki M
10 L. Zahovič F
Bench (9)
2 J. Bartkowski
22 V. Bichakhchyan
21 Jean Carlos
17 M. Fornalczyk
33 M. Malec
81 B. Klebaniuk
97 Luís Mata
99 M. Łęgowski
14 K. Drygas

Coach: J. Gustafsson

Jagiellonia

3-4-1-2
1 Z. Alomerović G
25 B. Țîru D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
2 M. Pazdan D
14 T. Přikryl M
26 M. Pospíšil M
22 O. Wojciechowski M
27 B. Wdowik M
11 Jesús Imaz F
74 A. Trubeha F
9 B. Bida F
Bench (9)
4 Israel Puerto
60 M. Kowalski
28 Marc Gual
8 Nené
5 B. Nastić
50 S. Abramowicz
19 P. Olszewski
10 F. Černych
77 W. Łaski

Coach: M. Stolarczyk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Lasyk · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.