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Ekstraklasa
1–0
Full-time
Zaglebie
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Zaglebie
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
54%
46%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
46%
54%
Both score Ø 58%
38%
77%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
0,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 3. · Zaglebie 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 14 9 2 3 +8 29
2 Rakow 13 8 3 2 +12 27
3 Pogon Szczecin 13 7 4 2 +11 25
4 Slask Wroclaw 14 7 2 5 +6 23
5 Gornik Zabrze 13 7 2 4 +5 23
6 Zaglebie 13 6 4 3 +4 22
7 Cracovia 13 5 6 2 +4 21
8 Lech Poznan 13 4 5 4 +2 17
9 Jagiellonia 13 5 2 6 -3 17
10 Lechia Gdansk 13 5 1 7 -2 16
11 Wisla Plock 14 4 4 6 -3 16
12 Piast Gliwice 13 3 4 6 -1 13
13 Warta Poznan 14 4 1 9 -6 13
14 Stal Mielec 14 3 4 7 -11 13
15 Wisla 13 2 5 6 -1 11
16 Podbeskidzie 14 2 3 9 -25 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.