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Ekstraklasa
Referee: B Frankowski
Zaglebie
S T U T S
1–1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,3
0,5
Conceded
0,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
17 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 4
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaglebie 11. · Lech Poznan 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 3 3 0 0 +9 9
2 Cracovia 4 3 0 1 +5 9
3 Pogon Szczecin 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Stal Mielec 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Korona Kielce 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Legia 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Rakow 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Slask Wroclaw 4 1 2 1 -1 5
9 Radomiak Radom 4 1 2 1 -2 5
10 Widzew Lodz 4 1 1 2 +0 4
11 Zaglebie 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Gornik Zabrze 2 1 0 1 +1 3
13 Jagiellonia 4 1 0 3 -2 3
14 Lechia Gdansk 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Warta Poznan 4 1 0 3 -5 3
16 Legnica 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Lech Poznan 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Piast Gliwice 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaglebie Lech Poznan
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Ł. Łakomy
C. Dieng
58′
62′
🟨 Jesper Karlström
62′
🔁 N. Kvekveskiri
↦ R. Murawski
63′
🔁 João Amaral
↦ Afonso Sousa
63′
🔁 M. Skóraś
↦ G. Tsitaishvili
66′
M. Ishak 1–1
S. Kobusiński 🔁
↦ M. Doležal
68′
M. Poletanović 🔁
↦ F. Starzyński
75′
A. Ratajczyk 🔁
↦ C. Dieng
75′
76′
🔁 F. Szymczak
↦ M. Ishak
79′
🔁 F. Marchwiński
↦ K. Velde
Bartosz Kopacz 🟨
85′
T. Pieńko 🔁
↦ Ł. Łakomy
87′
A. Woźniak 🔁
↦ K. Chodyna
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Zaglebie

4-2-3-1
89 K. Bieszczad G
2 B. Kopacz D
5 A. Ławniczak D
4 J. Jach D
77 M. Bartolewski D
6 T. Makowski M
99 Ł. Łakomy M
26 K. Chodyna M
18 F. Starzyński M
29 C. Dieng M
15 M. Doležal F
Bench (9)
17 S. Kobusiński
20 M. Poletanović
16 A. Ratajczyk
21 T. Pieńko
11 A. Woźniak
24 K. Lepczyński
33 K. Hinokio
1 J. Burić
19 R. Adamski

Coach: P. Stokowiec

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
35 F. Bednarek G
2 Joel Pereira D
44 A. Czerwiński D
20 M. Pingot D
3 B. Douglas D
22 R. Murawski M
6 J. Karlström M
14 G. Tsitaishvili M
7 Afonso Sousa M
23 K. Velde M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (7)
30 N. Kvekveskiri
24 João Amaral
21 M. Skóraś
17 F. Szymczak
11 F. Marchwiński
31 K. Bąkowski
43 A. Kozubal

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Frankowski · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.