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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Sylwestrzak

Warta Poznan

T S T T S

1–2

Full-time

Pogon Szczecin

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Pogon Szczecin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

42% Possession 58%

14 Shots 3

2 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 2

5 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Warta Poznan 15. · Pogon Szczecin 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Cracovia	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Stal Mielec	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	Korona Kielce	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Legia	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Rakow	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Radomiak Radom	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Widzew Lodz	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Zaglebie	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Jagiellonia	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Lechia Gdansk	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Warta Poznan	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Legnica	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Lech Poznan	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Piast Gliwice	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cracovia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Legia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Rakow	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Korona Kielce	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Stal Mielec	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Jagiellonia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Zaglebie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Radomiak Radom	2	0	1	1	-3	1
12	Widzew Lodz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Lech Poznan	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Warta Poznan	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Radomiak Radom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Widzew Lodz	3	1	1	1	+1	4
4	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Stal Mielec	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Korona Kielce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Lechia Gdansk	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Legnica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Legia	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Piast Gliwice	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.