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Superligaen
Referee: J Burchardt
Aarhus
U S S S U
2–0
Full-time
Viborg
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Viborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 33%
36%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
36%
50%
Both score Ø 61%
64%
57%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,06 xG 0,24
49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aarhus 6. · Viborg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 15 10 3 2 +15 +9.2 33
2 Brondby 15 9 3 3 +12 +2.2 30
3 Midtjylland 15 9 3 3 +7 +5.1 30
4 Silkeborg 15 8 3 4 +12 +10.8 27
5 Nordsjaelland 15 7 4 4 +12 +8.9 25
6 Aarhus 14 5 6 3 +1 +5.2 21
7 Viborg 14 4 4 6 -7 -0.1 16
8 Lyngby 15 4 4 7 -8 -3.7 16
9 Randers FC 15 3 6 6 -12 -2.5 15
10 Odense 15 3 4 8 -5 -6.6 13
11 Vejle 15 3 3 9 -5 -15.7 12
12 Hvidovre IF 15 1 3 11 -22 -12.7 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aarhus Viborg
31′
🟨 Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen
Gift Links 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 P. Mortensen
G. Links
46′
52′
🟥 Renato Júnior
Tobias Bech 🟨
61′
61′
🔁 N. Thomas
↦ Serginho
62′
🔁 M. Westergaard
↦ I. Said
62′
🔁 A. Jatta
↦ I. Jensen
E. Kahl 🔁
↦ G. Links
71′
77′
🔁 M. Søndergaard
↦ J. Grønning
2–0 T. Bech
77′
J. Serra 🔁
↦ T. Bech
82′
87′
🟨 Jacob Bonde
J. Beck 🔁
↦ M. Knudsen
87′
M. Akoto 🔁
↦ J. Andersen
87′
87′
🔁 J. Mbom
↦ S. Kuzmić
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-5-2
1 J. Hansen G
14 T. Mølgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
2 F. Beijmo D
26 J. Andersen M
29 F. Brandhof M
6 N. Poulsen M
15 M. Knudsen M
11 G. Links M
31 T. Bech F
10 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
19 E. Kahl
13 J. Serra
16 J. Beck
27 M. Akoto
21 P. Bjur
30 M. Sauer
7 M. Emil Madsen
32 J. Hutters
4 T. Anker

Coach: U. Rösler

Viborg

4-2-3-1
1 L. Lund G
30 S. Kuzmić D
4 N. Bürgy D
5 Ž. Zaletel D
23 O. Bundgaard D
13 J. Grønning M
17 J. Bonde M
7 Serginho M
8 I. Said M
15 I. Jensen M
11 Renato Júnior F
Bench (9)
9 N. Thomas
28 M. Westergaard
12 A. Jatta
6 M. Søndergaard
18 J. Mbom
25 A. Zulić
27 M. Agnarsson
10 J. Jacobs
20 K. Kiilerich

Coach: J. Poulsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Burchardt · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.