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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

Genk

S U S S U

3–1

Full-time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,2

Scored

2,2

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 26%

38%

13%

Points per game

1,6

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

63%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

38%

88%

Average goals

3,3

3,9

Scored

2,3

1,4

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,54 xG 0,38

64% Possession 36%

18 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

6 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 7. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	7	0	1	+13	+9.6	21
2	Cercle Brugge	9	7	0	2	+9	+8.0	21
3	Anderlecht	8	6	1	1	+10	+3.3	19
4	Antwerp	9	4	4	1	+17	+11.1	16
5	Gent	8	4	3	1	+3	+3.0	15
6	Club Brugge	9	4	2	3	+11	+13.3	14
7	Genk	8	3	4	1	+10	+9.3	13
8	RWD Molenbeek	11	3	4	4	-9	-7.7	13
9	Standard	9	3	3	3	-4	-10.1	12
10	Mechelen	9	3	2	4	-3	-2.0	11
11	St Truiden	9	2	4	3	-5	-4.7	10
12	Kortrijk	10	2	2	6	-13	-3.5	8
13	Eupen	11	2	2	7	-14	-16.2	8
14	Charleroi	11	1	4	6	-9	-8.6	7
15	Westerlo	9	1	3	5	-7	-5.9	6
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	1	2	5	-9	+1.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	4	4	0	0	+8	+2.5	12
2	Cercle Brugge	4	4	0	0	+6	+3.9	12
3	Antwerp	5	3	2	0	+15	+11.0	11
4	Mechelen	5	3	1	1	+4	+1.1	10
5	Gent	4	3	1	0	+3	+0.5	10
6	St. Gilloise	3	3	0	0	+9	+4.4	9
7	Club Brugge	4	2	2	0	+8	+6.5	8
8	Kortrijk	6	2	2	2	-2	-2.2	8
9	RWD Molenbeek	6	2	2	2	-3	-4.5	8
10	Standard	5	2	1	2	+0	-4.6	7
11	Genk	5	1	3	1	+3	+4.7	6
12	Charleroi	5	1	3	1	-1	+0.2	6
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
14	St Truiden	5	1	1	3	-6	-2.9	4
15	Eupen	5	1	1	3	-7	-5.7	4
16	Westerlo	4	1	0	3	-5	-4.6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	4	0	1	+4	+5.1	12
2	Cercle Brugge	5	3	0	2	+3	+4.2	9
3	Genk	3	2	1	0	+7	+4.6	7
4	Anderlecht	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.8	7
5	Club Brugge	5	2	0	3	+3	+6.7	6
6	St Truiden	4	1	3	0	+1	-1.7	6
7	Antwerp	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.2	5
8	Gent	4	1	2	1	+0	+2.5	5
9	Standard	4	1	2	1	-4	-5.6	5
10	RWD Molenbeek	5	1	2	2	-6	-3.2	5
11	Eupen	6	1	1	4	-7	-10.5	4
12	Westerlo	5	0	3	2	-2	-1.3	3
13	Mechelen	4	0	1	3	-7	-3.1	1
14	Charleroi	6	0	1	5	-8	-8.9	1
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	0	1	4	-11	+1.0	1
16	Kortrijk	4	0	0	4	-11	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.