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Superligaen
Referee: J Maae
Vejle
U S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Viborg
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vejle Viborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
17%
25%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,07 xG 3,56
41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 29
2 Shots on target 10
5 Blocked shots 5
9 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vejle 11. · Viborg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 13 9 2 2 +13 +8.5 29
2 Silkeborg 12 8 1 3 +13 +8.2 25
3 Brondby 12 8 1 3 +11 +2.6 25
4 Midtjylland 13 7 3 3 +2 +1.7 24
5 Nordsjaelland 12 6 4 2 +14 +6.6 22
6 Aarhus 12 4 5 3 +0 +5.2 17
7 Lyngby 13 4 3 6 -7 -3.9 15
8 Randers FC 12 3 5 4 -9 -2.7 14
9 Viborg 12 3 3 6 -8 -0.4 12
10 Odense 12 3 2 7 -3 -4.5 11
11 Vejle 12 2 2 8 -5 -11.4 8
12 Hvidovre IF 13 0 3 10 -21 -9.9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vejle Viborg
1–0 Y. N'Gbakoto
M. Juwara
21′
Half-time 1–0
J. Assehnoun 🔁
↦ M. Juwara
46′
K. Kirkegaard 🔁
↦ G. Onugkha
61′
Jasin Assehnoun 🟨
63′
67′
🔁 I. Jensen
↦ Renato Júnior
67′
🔁 Serginho
↦ J. Mbom
76′
A. Ementa 1–1
78′
🔁 J. Vester
↦ S. Kuzmić
79′
🟨 Nicolas Bürgy
Saeid Ezatolahi 🟨
81′
T. Lauritsen 🔁
↦ J. Assehnoun
88′
C. Gammelgaard 🔁
↦ H. Barry
88′
A. Bušuladžić 🔁
↦ Y. NGbakoto
88′
90′
🔁 A. Jatta
↦ A. Ementa
91′
🟨 Jakob Vester Nielsen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Vejle

3-4-3
1 N. Trott G
20 D. Kolinger D
6 Raúl Albentosa D
4 O. Provstgaard D
59 M. Elvius M
60 S. Ezatolahi M
5 H. Barry M
3 M. Albornoz M
11 M. Juwara F
9 G. Onugkha F
7 Y. N'Gbakoto F
Bench (9)
77 J. Assehnoun
10 K. Kirkegaard
25 T. Lauritsen
37 C. Gammelgaard
8 A. Bušuladžić
14 T. Gundelund
13 S. Velkov
31 I. Vekič
23 G. Rólantsson

Coach: I. Prelec

Viborg

4-3-3
1 L. Lund G
30 S. Kuzmić D
4 N. Bürgy D
5 Ž. Zaletel D
23 O. Bundgaard D
18 J. Mbom M
13 J. Grønning M
17 J. Bonde M
8 I. Said F
14 A. Ementa F
11 Renato Júnior F
Bench (9)
15 I. Jensen
7 Serginho
37 J. Vester
12 A. Jatta
6 M. Søndergaard
20 K. Kiilerich
10 J. Jacobs
27 M. Agnarsson
9 N. Thomas

Coach: J. Friis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Maae · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.