Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rennes
Lyon
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | +14.1 | 27 |
| 2 |
Nice
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | +9 | +8.1 | 26 |
| 3 |
Monaco
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | +5.5 | 24 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +4 | +6.2 | 20 |
| 5 |
Reims
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | +2.3 | 20 |
| 6 |
Le Havre
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -1 | -5.7 | 15 |
| 7 |
Brest
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | +1.1 | 15 |
| 8 |
Nantes
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -6 | -6.2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Montpellier
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +1 | +2.7 | 13 |
| 10 |
Marseille
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +0 | +7.9 | 13 |
| 11 |
Lens
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | +3.7 | 13 |
| 12 |
Metz
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | -9.8 | 13 |
| 13 |
Rennes
|
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +1 | +3.9 | 12 |
| 14 |
Toulouse
|
12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -3 | -10.7 | 12 |
| 15 |
Strasbourg
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | -3.1 | 12 |
| 16 |
Lorient
|
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -6 | -8.2 | 11 |
| 17 |
Clermont
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -6 | -5.4 | 9 |
| 18 |
Lyon
|
10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -11 | -6.5 | 4 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Doué
D
A. Theate
D
A. Truffert
D
L. Blas
M
N. Matić
M
E. Le Fée
M
I. Salah
F
M. Terrier
F
Coach: B. Génésio
Anthony Lopes
G
S. Kumbedi
D
S. Diomandé
D
J. O'Brien
D
N. Tagliafico
D
M. Caqueret
M
C. Tolisso
M
R. Cherki
M
Mama Baldé
F
E. Nuamah
F
Coach: F. Grosso
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Rennes
Panathinaikos
Nice
Rennes
Rennes
Strasbourg
Panathinaikos
Rennes
Lorient
Rennes
S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.