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Ligue 1
Referee: S Frappart
Rennes
T S U T S
0–1
Full-time
Lyon
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 9%
18%
0%
Points per game
1,1
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
55%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
73%
60%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,92 xG 1,49
42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 9
0 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 13. · Lyon 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 12 8 3 1 +20 +14.1 27
2 Nice 12 7 5 0 +9 +8.1 26
3 Monaco 12 7 3 2 +11 +5.5 24
4 Lille 12 5 5 2 +4 +6.2 20
5 Reims 12 6 2 4 +2 +2.3 20
6 Le Havre 12 3 6 3 -1 -5.7 15
7 Brest 11 4 3 4 -2 +1.1 15
8 Nantes 12 4 2 6 -6 -6.2 14
9 Montpellier 11 3 4 4 +1 +2.7 13
10 Marseille 10 3 4 3 +0 +7.9 13
11 Lens 11 3 4 4 -1 +3.7 13
12 Metz 12 3 4 5 -6 -9.8 13
13 Rennes 11 2 6 3 +1 +3.9 12
14 Toulouse 12 2 6 4 -3 -10.7 12
15 Strasbourg 11 3 3 5 -6 -3.1 12
16 Lorient 12 2 5 5 -6 -8.2 11
17 Clermont 11 2 3 6 -6 -5.4 9
18 Lyon 10 0 4 6 -11 -6.5 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Lyon
Guéla Doué 🟥
5′
Ibrahim Salah 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
A. Kalimuendo 🔁
↦ I. Salah
46′
B. Santamaría 🔁
↦ M. Terrier
46′
J. Belocian 🔁
↦ A. Truffert
46′
46′
🔁 A. Lacazette
↦ S. Alvero
64′
🔁 T. Kadewere
↦ Mama Baldé
64′
🔁 Jeffinho
↦ R. Cherki
67′
J. O'Brien 0–1
D. Doué 🔁
↦ L. Blas
73′
Nemanja Matić 🟨
75′
Arthur Theate 🟨
75′
77′
🔁 M. Diawara
↦ E. Nuamah
79′
🟨 Nicolás Tagliafico
A. Gouiri 🔁
↦ C. Wooh
85′
94′
🔁 D. Lovren
↦ C. Tolisso
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-2
30 S. Mandanda G
17 G. Doué D
15 C. Wooh D
5 A. Theate D
3 A. Truffert D
11 L. Blas M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
21 N. Matić M
28 E. Le Fée M
34 I. Salah F
7 M. Terrier F
Bench (9)
9 A. Kalimuendo
8 B. Santamaría
16 J. Belocian
33 D. Doué
10 A. Gouiri
38 M. Jaouab
35 M. Nagida
1 G. Gallon
32 F. Rieder

Coach: B. Génésio

Lyon

4-3-1-2
1 Anthony Lopes G
20 S. Kumbedi D
2 S. Diomandé D
12 J. O'Brien D
3 N. Tagliafico D
80 S. Alvero M
6 M. Caqueret M
8 C. Tolisso M
18 R. Cherki M
7 Mama Baldé F
37 E. Nuamah F
Bench (9)
10 A. Lacazette
11 T. Kadewere
47 Jeffinho
34 M. Diawara
5 D. Lovren
4 P. Akouokou
98 A. Maitland-Niles
17 R. Riou
21 Henrique

Coach: F. Grosso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,73
U
4,06
B ✓
4,48
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.