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Superligaen
Referee: Jorgen Daugbjerg Burchardt
Viborg
U U S S S
1–1
Full-time
Aarhus
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Superligaen · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 47%
53%
40%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
53%
40%
Both score Ø 57%
67%
47%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
18 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Viborg 2. · Aarhus 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 15 9 4 2 +12 31
2 Viborg 15 8 4 3 +7 28
3 Randers FC 16 6 5 5 -3 23
4 Odense 15 6 4 5 -2 22
5 Silkeborg 15 6 3 6 +3 21
6 FC Copenhagen 15 6 3 6 +3 21
7 Aarhus 15 6 3 6 +3 21
8 Midtjylland 15 5 6 4 +2 21
9 Horsens 16 6 3 7 +0 21
10 Brondby 15 5 5 5 -3 20
11 Aalborg 15 3 5 7 -6 14
12 Lyngby 15 0 5 10 -16 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viborg Aarhus
41′
P. Mortensen 0–1
Half-time 0–1
D. Anyembe 🔁
↦ O. Bundgaard
46′
49′
🟨 Patrick Mortensen
57′
🔁 A. D'Alberto
↦ T. Mølgaard
J. Bonde 🔁
↦ M. Søndergaard
63′
I. Said 🔁
↦ J. Žambůrek
63′
70′
🟨 Thomas Kristensen
71′
🔁 Kevin Yakob
↦ M. Anderson
71′
🔁 J. Duin
↦ S. Haugen
Žan Zaletel 🟨
74′
S. Berger 🔁
↦ C. Leemans
78′
1–1 J. Grot
E. Achouri
79′
82′
🔁 F. Brandhof
↦ M. Emil Madsen
Nils Mortimer 🔁
↦ E. Achouri
83′
88′
🟨 Eric Kahl
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Viborg

4-3-2-1
1 L. Lund G
2 A. Gaaei D
4 N. Bürgy D
5 Ž. Zaletel D
23 O. Bundgaard D
6 M. Søndergaard M
13 J. Grønning M
14 C. Leemans M
19 J. Žambůrek M
7 E. Achouri M
11 J. Grot F
Bench (9)
24 D. Anyembe
17 J. Bonde
30 I. Said
21 S. Berger
10 Nils Mortimer
3 M. Lauritsen
27 M. Agnarsson
12 A. Jatta
16 M. Andersen

Coach: J. Friis

Aarhus

3-5-2
1 J. Hansen G
23 T. Thiesson Kristensen D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
14 T. Mølgaard M
6 N. Poulsen M
8 M. Anderson M
7 M. Emil Madsen M
19 E. Kahl M
10 S. Haugen F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
26 A. D'Alberto
17 Kevin Yakob
18 J. Duin
29 F. Brandhof
27 S. Grønning
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit
28 A. Daghim
15 O. Lund
22 B. Hvidt

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jorgen Daugbjerg Burchardt · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.