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Eliteserien
Referee: K Steen
Sandefjord
T T T U S
3–2
Full-time
Rosenborg
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
22%
37%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
59%
63%
Both score Ø 58%
56%
59%
Average goals
3,4
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,29 xG 2,21
43% Possession 57%
16 Shots 21
6 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 10
1 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandefjord 13. · Rosenborg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 27 20 4 3 +39 +17.7 64
2 Brann 28 18 4 6 +21 +4.7 58
3 Tromso 27 17 3 7 +13 +10.4 54
4 Viking 27 16 4 7 +12 +4.4 52
5 Molde 27 13 5 9 +20 +11.8 44
6 Lillestrom 27 13 3 11 +5 +7.4 42
7 Sarpsborg 08 27 12 5 10 +8 +5.3 41
8 Stromsgodset 27 11 3 13 -2 -5.3 36
9 Rosenborg 27 10 6 11 -5 -4.2 36
10 Odd 27 9 7 11 -4 -5.6 34
11 Haugesund 28 8 6 14 -8 -3.9 30
12 Ham-Kam 27 9 3 15 -19 -14.2 30
13 Sandefjord 27 6 7 14 -9 -14.1 25
14 Stabaek 27 6 7 14 -16 -6.7 25
15 Valerenga 27 6 6 15 -13 -4.3 24
16 Aalesund 27 5 3 19 -42 -3.4 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Rosenborg
Aleksander Nilsson 🟨
2′
1–0 V. Egeli
F. Pedersen
5′
17′
🟨 Ole Selnaes
2–0 J. Dunsby
36′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 S. Väänänen
↦ O. Skarsem
3–0 A. Tveter
49′
49′
R. Wiedesheim-Paul 3–1
L. Cornic
72′
H. Røsten 3–2
G. Koomson 🔁
↦ J. Dunsby
77′
F. Nyenetue 🔁
↦ A. Tveter
77′
77′
🔁 N. Holm
↦ J. Nelson
Hugo Keto 🟨
82′
Simon Amin 🔁
↦ J. Kjær
87′
S. Mørk 🔁
↦ A. Damnjanovic Nilsson
87′
92′
🔁 M. Holte
↦ R. Wiedesheim-Paul
Y. Chaib 🔁
↦ Danilo Al Saed
95′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Sandefjord

4-3-3
1 H. Keto G
4 F. Pedersen D
19 F. Berglie D
17 S. Foss D
3 V. Egeli D
8 A. Damnjanovic Nilsson M
18 F. Ottosson M
10 J. Kjær M
27 J. Dunsby F
9 A. Tveter F
14 Danilo Al Saed F
Bench (9)
7 G. Koomson
20 F. Nyenetue
21 Simon Amin
6 S. Mørk
11 Y. Chaib
2 F. Pålerud
12 M. Viken
31 S. Mathisen
26 F. Loftesnes-Bjune

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Rosenborg

4-3-3
24 S. Tangvik G
32 L. Cornic D
16 H. Røsten D
23 U. Yttergård Jenssen D
19 A. Pereira D
21 O. Skarsem M
10 O. Selnæs M
41 S. Nypan M
14 E. Frederiksen F
28 R. Wiedesheim-Paul F
11 J. Nelson F
Bench (8)
6 S. Väänänen
27 N. Holm
44 M. Holte
25 A. Andersson
38 M. Ceïde
46 S. Havig
7 M. Henriksen
45 J. Reitan-Sunde

Coach: S. Maalen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Steen · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.