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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Gent
T S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
2,5
2,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,9
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
50%
88%
Both score Ø 82%
75%
88%
Average goals
2,6
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,39 xG 1,16
63% Possession 37%
10 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 6. · Anderlecht 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 8 7 0 1 +13 +9.6 21
2 Cercle Brugge 9 7 0 2 +9 +8.0 21
3 Anderlecht 8 6 1 1 +10 +3.3 19
4 Antwerp 9 4 4 1 +17 +11.1 16
5 Genk 9 4 4 1 +12 +12.5 16
6 Gent 8 4 3 1 +3 +3.0 15
7 Club Brugge 9 4 2 3 +11 +13.3 14
8 RWD Molenbeek 11 3 4 4 -9 -7.7 13
9 Standard 9 3 3 3 -4 -10.1 12
10 Mechelen 9 3 2 4 -3 -2.0 11
11 St Truiden 9 2 4 3 -5 -4.7 10
12 Kortrijk 10 2 2 6 -13 -3.5 8
13 Eupen 11 2 2 7 -14 -16.2 8
14 Charleroi 11 1 4 6 -9 -8.6 7
15 Westerlo 9 1 3 5 -7 -5.9 6
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 1 2 6 -11 -2.2 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Anderlecht
13′
🟨 Thomas Delaney
33′
🔁 M. N'Diaye
↦ L. Augustinsson
1–0 M. Samoise
T. Tissoudali
38′
Half-time 1–1
49′
K. Dolberg 1–1
Tarik Tissoudali 🟨
59′
63′
🔁 T. Leoni
↦ M. Stroeykens
65′
🟨 Kasper Dolberg
G. Orban 🔁
↦ H. Cuypers
69′
P. Gerkens 🔁
↦ Hong Hyun-Seok
79′
M. Fofana 🔁
↦ T. Tissoudali
79′
84′
🔁 B. Raman
↦ A. Dreyer
85′
🔁 L. Vázquez
↦ K. Dolberg
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-2-1
33 D. Roef G
5 I. Kandouss D
4 T. Watanabe D
23 J. Torunarigha D
18 M. Samoise M
24 S. Kums M
13 J. De Sart M
3 A. Brown M
10 T. Tissoudali F
7 Hong Hyun-Seok F
11 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
20 G. Orban
8 P. Gerkens
19 M. Fofana
6 O. Gandelman
25 Núrio Fortuna
22 N. Fadiga
1 P. Nardi

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Anderlecht

4-3-3
33 K. Schmeichel G
54 K. Sardella D
56 Z. Debast D
14 J. Vertonghen D
15 L. Augustinsson D
29 M. Stroeykens M
23 M. Rits M
25 T. Delaney M
36 A. Dreyer F
12 K. Dolberg F
11 T. Hazard F
Bench (7)
5 M. N'Diaye
17 T. Leoni
9 B. Raman
20 L. Vázquez
61 K. Arnstad
1 M. Dupé
21 A. Diawara

Coach: B. Riemer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U ✓
3,60
B
3,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.