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Superligaen

Referee: J Maae

Midtjylland

U S S T S

2–0

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 54%

57%

50%

Points per game

1,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

64%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

64%

43%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,8

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,03 xG 0,47

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Midtjylland 4. · Nordsjaelland 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	15	10	3	2	+15	+9.2	33
2	Brondby	15	9	3	3	+12	+2.2	30
3	Silkeborg	15	8	3	4	+12	+10.8	27
4	Midtjylland	14	8	3	3	+5	+4.5	27
5	Nordsjaelland	14	7	4	3	+14	+9.5	25
6	Aarhus	14	5	6	3	+1	+5.2	21
7	Viborg	14	4	4	6	-7	-0.1	16
8	Lyngby	15	4	4	7	-8	-3.7	16
9	Randers FC	15	3	6	6	-12	-2.5	15
10	Odense	14	3	4	7	-3	-6.6	13
11	Vejle	15	3	3	9	-5	-15.7	12
12	Hvidovre IF	14	0	3	11	-24	-12.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	8	5	2	1	+10	+8.9	17
2	FC Copenhagen	8	5	1	2	+8	+8.0	16
3	Nordsjaelland	7	4	2	1	+8	+6.1	14
4	Midtjylland	7	4	2	1	+4	+1.9	14
5	Brondby	7	4	1	2	+5	+3.4	13
6	Viborg	7	3	3	1	+1	-0.1	12
7	Aarhus	7	3	2	2	-2	+2.2	11
8	Lyngby	7	2	3	2	+1	-0.5	9
9	Randers FC	7	2	3	2	-5	+1.3	9
10	Vejle	8	2	2	4	-1	-5.4	8
11	Odense	7	0	2	5	-7	-1.3	2
12	Hvidovre IF	7	0	0	7	-16	-4.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	7	5	2	0	+7	+1.2	17
2	Brondby	8	5	2	1	+7	-1.2	17
3	Midtjylland	7	4	1	2	+1	+2.7	13
4	Nordsjaelland	7	3	2	2	+6	+3.4	11
5	Odense	7	3	2	2	+4	-5.2	11
6	Aarhus	7	2	4	1	+3	+3.0	10
7	Silkeborg	7	3	1	3	+2	+1.9	10
8	Lyngby	8	2	1	5	-9	-3.2	7
9	Randers FC	8	1	3	4	-7	-3.8	6
10	Vejle	7	1	1	5	-4	-10.3	4
11	Viborg	7	1	1	5	-8	-0.0	4
12	Hvidovre IF	7	0	3	4	-8	-8.3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.