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Super League

Referee: P Tsiaras

PAOK

S S T S U

2–1

Full-time

Panetolikos

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Panetolikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

55%

Points per game

1,9

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

55%

45%

Both score Ø 32%

36%

27%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

67% Possession 33%

11 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 3. · Panetolikos 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	10	8	1	1	+25	25
2	Olympiakos	11	8	1	2	+20	25
3	PAOK	11	6	3	2	+10	21
4	AEK	10	6	3	1	+9	21
5	Lamia	11	5	3	3	-2	18
6	Aris Thessalonikis	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	Aris	11	5	2	4	+2	17
8	OFI Crete	12	4	5	3	-1	17
9	Panserraikos	11	3	4	4	-5	13
10	Atromitos	12	3	4	5	-8	13
11	Asteras Tripolis	11	3	2	6	-7	11
12	Kifisia	11	1	6	4	-8	9
13	Giannina	12	1	4	7	-9	7
14	Volos NFC	11	1	3	7	-13	6
15	Panetolikos	11	1	3	7	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	8	6	0	2	+15	18
2	PAOK	6	4	2	0	+9	14
3	OFI Crete	7	4	2	1	+3	14
4	Aris Thessalonikis	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Aris	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Lamia	6	4	1	1	+3	13
7	AEK	5	3	2	0	+6	11
8	Panathinaikos	5	3	1	1	+12	10
9	Panserraikos	4	3	1	0	+4	10
10	Kifisia	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Atromitos	4	1	3	0	+1	6
12	Panetolikos	5	1	2	2	-4	5
13	Giannina	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Asteras Tripolis	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Volos NFC	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	AEK	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Olympiakos	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	PAOK	5	2	1	2	+1	7
5	Asteras Tripolis	6	2	1	3	-3	7
6	Atromitos	8	2	1	5	-9	7
7	Lamia	5	1	2	2	-5	5
8	Aris Thessalonikis	5	1	1	3	-3	4
9	Aris	5	1	1	3	-3	4
10	OFI Crete	5	0	3	2	-4	3
11	Giannina	7	0	3	4	-6	3
12	Panserraikos	7	0	3	4	-9	3
13	Volos NFC	5	0	2	3	-8	2
14	Kifisia	6	0	2	4	-9	2
15	Panetolikos	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.