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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: M Lien

Fredrikstad

S S S T U

1–0

Full-time

Jerv

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Jerv

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,8

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 44%

59%

28%

Points per game

2,1

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

55%

66%

Both score Ø 69%

62%

76%

Average goals

2,5

3,4

Scored

1,7

1,4

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredrikstad 1. · Jerv 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fredrikstad	29	17	10	2	+26	61
2	KFUM Oslo	29	17	6	6	+20	57
3	Kongsvinger	28	16	3	9	+15	51
4	Kristiansund	27	12	7	8	+11	43
5	Start	28	11	9	8	+11	42
6	Sogndal	29	12	6	11	+0	42
7	Bryne	27	12	5	10	+7	41
8	Ranheim	29	12	3	14	-17	39
9	Raufoss	29	10	8	11	+0	38
10	Sandnes ULF	29	10	7	12	-1	37
11	Mjondalen	29	10	6	13	-3	36
12	Moss	29	9	8	12	-4	35
13	Asane	29	8	10	11	-5	34
14	hodd	29	8	8	13	-9	32
15	Jerv	29	8	7	14	-18	31
16	Skeid	29	3	5	21	-33	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	KFUM Oslo	15	10	3	2	+15	33
2	Fredrikstad	14	9	4	1	+16	31
3	Bryne	15	9	4	2	+12	31
4	Start	13	9	3	1	+16	30
5	Moss	15	8	2	5	+7	26
6	Kongsvinger	13	8	1	4	+11	25
7	Kristiansund	14	7	3	4	+11	24
8	Sogndal	14	7	3	4	+4	24
9	Asane	14	6	4	4	+2	22
10	Raufoss	14	5	6	3	+7	21
11	Sandnes ULF	15	6	3	6	+3	21
12	Mjondalen	15	5	4	6	+3	19
13	hodd	15	4	7	4	+1	19
14	Ranheim	14	6	1	7	-9	19
15	Jerv	15	4	4	7	-7	16
16	Skeid	14	2	2	10	-13	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fredrikstad	15	8	6	1	+10	30
2	Kongsvinger	15	8	2	5	+4	26
3	KFUM Oslo	14	7	3	4	+5	24
4	Ranheim	15	6	2	7	-8	20
5	Kristiansund	13	5	4	4	+0	19
6	Sogndal	15	5	3	7	-4	18
7	Mjondalen	14	5	2	7	-6	17
8	Raufoss	15	5	2	8	-7	17
9	Sandnes ULF	14	4	4	6	-4	16
10	Jerv	14	4	3	7	-11	15
11	hodd	14	4	1	9	-10	13
12	Start	15	2	6	7	-5	12
13	Asane	15	2	6	7	-7	12
14	Bryne	12	3	1	8	-5	10
15	Moss	14	1	6	7	-11	9
16	Skeid	15	1	3	11	-20	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.