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Super League
Referee: I Papadopoulos
0–2
Full-time
Olympiakos
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 50%
27%
73%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
73%
73%
Both score Ø 41%
45%
36%
Average goals
3,0
3,6
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
6 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
5 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 11. · Olympiakos 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 10 8 1 1 +25 25
2 Olympiakos 11 8 1 2 +20 25
3 AEK 11 7 3 1 +12 24
4 PAOK 12 7 3 2 +11 24
5 Lamia 12 5 3 4 -5 18
6 Aris Thessalonikis 11 5 2 4 +2 17
7 Aris 11 5 2 4 +2 17
8 OFI Crete 12 4 5 3 -1 17
9 Panserraikos 11 3 4 4 -5 13
10 Atromitos 12 3 4 5 -8 13
11 Asteras Tripolis 11 3 2 6 -7 11
12 Kifisia 11 1 6 4 -8 9
13 Giannina 12 1 4 7 -9 7
14 Volos NFC 11 1 3 7 -13 6
15 Panetolikos 12 1 3 8 -16 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis Olympiakos
V. Mantzis 🔁
↦ J. Miritello
15′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Daniel Podence
↦ O. Solbakken
63′
🔁 K. Fortounis
↦ Gustavo Scarpa
63′
🔁 G. Masouras
↦ Pep Biel
José Luis Valiente 🔁
↦ S. Goss
66′
N. Zouglis 🔁
↦ V. Sourlis
67′
69′
K. Fortounis 0–1
F. Ortega
Nikolaos Papadopoulos 🟨
71′
73′
🔁 S. Jovetić
↦ A. El Kaabi
Diamantis Chouchoumis 🟨
74′
Y. Diarra 🔁
↦ Xesc Regis
83′
F. Álvarez 🔁
↦ D. Houhoumis
84′
88′
🔁 Iborra
↦ Daniel Podence
Vasilios Mantzis 🟨
92′
96′
K. Fortounis 0–2
S. Jovetić
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
2 Rubén García D
18 Pichu Atienza D
19 Pepe Castaño D
3 D. Houhoumis D
69 O. Adefunyibomi M
4 S. Goss M
20 N. Kaltsas M
21 V. Sourlis M
11 Xesc Regis M
9 J. Miritello F
Bench (9)
14 V. Mantzis
6 José Luis Valiente
77 N. Zouglis
24 Y. Diarra
29 F. Álvarez
45 G. Christopoulos
30 D. Grozdanić
97 G. Kosteas
33 F. Sgouris

Coach: G. Douvikas

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paschalakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
74 A. Ntoi D
3 F. Ortega D
15 S. Alexandropoulos M
32 S. Hezze M
21 Pep Biel M
10 Gustavo Scarpa M
98 O. Solbakken M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (9)
56 Daniel Podence
7 K. Fortounis
19 G. Masouras
22 S. Jovetić
8 Iborra
88 K. Tzolakis
20 João Carvalho
41 G. Biancone
18 Quini

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,74
U
4,37
B ✓
1,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Papadopoulos · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
32,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.