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Eliteserien

Referee: K Hagenes

Viking

T U T T T

2–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viking Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

4,5

Scored

1,3

2,7

Conceded

2,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 52%

59%

44%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

56%

74%

Both score Ø 67%

63%

70%

Average goals

3,6

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,81 xG 0,74

39% Possession 61%

4 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Viking 4. · Sarpsborg 08 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	27	20	4	3	+39	+17.7	64
2	Brann	28	18	4	6	+21	+4.7	58
3	Tromso	27	17	3	7	+13	+10.4	54
4	Viking	27	16	4	7	+12	+4.4	52
5	Molde	27	13	5	9	+20	+11.8	44
6	Lillestrom	27	13	3	11	+5	+7.4	42
7	Sarpsborg 08	27	12	5	10	+8	+5.3	41
8	Stromsgodset	27	11	3	13	-2	-5.3	36
9	Rosenborg	27	10	6	11	-5	-4.2	36
10	Odd	27	9	7	11	-4	-5.6	34
11	Haugesund	28	8	6	14	-8	-3.9	30
12	Ham-Kam	27	9	3	15	-19	-14.2	30
13	Sandefjord	27	6	7	14	-9	-14.1	25
14	Stabaek	27	6	7	14	-16	-6.7	25
15	Valerenga	27	6	6	15	-13	-4.3	24
16	Aalesund	27	5	3	19	-42	-3.4	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	14	11	2	1	+18	+2.0	35
2	Bodo/Glimt	13	10	2	1	+20	+6.8	32
3	Viking	13	9	2	2	+14	+2.6	29
4	Lillestrom	14	9	0	5	+11	+5.3	27
5	Molde	13	8	2	3	+17	+6.7	26
6	Sarpsborg 08	14	8	2	4	+13	+3.2	26
7	Tromso	14	8	2	4	+7	+8.1	26
8	Rosenborg	14	7	3	4	+6	+3.7	24
9	Stromsgodset	13	7	1	5	+5	+0.3	22
10	Odd	13	6	4	3	+5	+1.5	22
11	Ham-Kam	14	6	3	5	+1	-7.6	21
12	Haugesund	14	6	2	6	+1	-3.9	20
13	Stabaek	14	5	3	6	+0	-4.0	18
14	Sandefjord	13	4	5	4	+7	-8.1	17
15	Aalesund	14	4	3	7	-10	+3.8	15
16	Valerenga	13	2	2	9	-10	+1.6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	14	10	2	2	+19	+10.9	32
2	Tromso	13	9	1	3	+6	+2.3	28
3	Brann	14	7	2	5	+3	+2.8	23
4	Viking	14	7	2	5	-2	+1.8	23
5	Molde	14	5	3	6	+3	+5.1	18
6	Valerenga	14	4	4	6	-3	-5.9	16
7	Sarpsborg 08	13	4	3	6	-5	+2.1	15
8	Lillestrom	13	4	3	6	-6	+2.1	15
9	Stromsgodset	14	4	2	8	-7	-5.7	14
10	Odd	14	3	3	8	-9	-7.1	12
11	Rosenborg	13	3	3	7	-11	-8.0	12
12	Haugesund	14	2	4	8	-9	+0.0	10
13	Ham-Kam	13	3	0	10	-20	-6.6	9
14	Sandefjord	14	2	2	10	-16	-6.0	8
15	Stabaek	13	1	4	8	-16	-2.7	7
16	Aalesund	13	1	0	12	-32	-7.2	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.