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Superligaen

Referee: J Sundberg

Brondby

S S U S S

1–1

Full-time

Aarhus

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 54%

69%

38%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

77%

38%

Both score Ø 58%

54%

62%

Average goals

2,9

2,4

Scored

1,9

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%

5 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brondby 2. · Aarhus 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	14	10	2	2	+15	+8.3	32
2	Brondby	13	9	1	3	+12	+3.0	28
3	Midtjylland	14	8	3	3	+5	+4.5	27
4	Silkeborg	14	8	2	4	+12	+10.8	26
5	Nordsjaelland	14	7	4	3	+14	+9.5	25
6	Aarhus	13	5	5	3	+1	+5.2	20
7	Lyngby	14	4	4	6	-7	-2.2	16
8	Viborg	14	4	4	6	-7	-0.1	16
9	Randers FC	14	3	5	6	-12	-2.5	14
10	Odense	14	3	4	7	-3	-6.6	13
11	Vejle	14	2	3	9	-6	-17.2	9
12	Hvidovre IF	14	0	3	11	-24	-12.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	7	5	1	1	+10	+8.9	16
2	FC Copenhagen	7	5	0	2	+8	+7.1	15
3	Nordsjaelland	7	4	2	1	+8	+6.1	14
4	Midtjylland	7	4	2	1	+4	+1.9	14
5	Brondby	6	4	0	2	+5	+3.4	12
6	Viborg	7	3	3	1	+1	-0.1	12
7	Aarhus	7	3	2	2	-2	+2.2	11
8	Lyngby	7	2	3	2	+1	-0.5	9
9	Randers FC	7	2	3	2	-5	+1.3	9
10	Vejle	7	1	2	4	-2	-6.9	5
11	Odense	7	0	2	5	-7	-1.3	2
12	Hvidovre IF	7	0	0	7	-16	-4.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	7	5	2	0	+7	+1.2	17
2	Brondby	7	5	1	1	+7	-0.4	16
3	Midtjylland	7	4	1	2	+1	+2.7	13
4	Nordsjaelland	7	3	2	2	+6	+3.4	11
5	Odense	7	3	2	2	+4	-5.2	11
6	Silkeborg	7	3	1	3	+2	+1.9	10
7	Aarhus	6	2	3	1	+3	+3.0	9
8	Lyngby	7	2	1	4	-8	-1.8	7
9	Randers FC	7	1	2	4	-7	-3.8	5
10	Vejle	7	1	1	5	-4	-10.3	4
11	Viborg	7	1	1	5	-8	-0.0	4
12	Hvidovre IF	7	0	3	4	-8	-8.3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.