Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aarhus
FC Copenhagen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Midtjylland
|
26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | +22 | 53 |
| 2 |
Brondby
|
27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | +18 | 52 |
| 3 |
Aarhus
|
26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | +10 | 42 |
| 4 |
FC Copenhagen
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 42 |
| 5 |
Nordsjaelland
|
26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 36 |
| 6 |
Aalborg
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -5 | 36 |
| 7 |
Sonderjyske
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 |
Randers FC
|
27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | +4 | 33 |
| 9 |
Odense
|
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 33 |
| 10 |
Vejle
|
27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -9 | 32 |
| 11 |
Lyngby
|
27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -19 | 25 |
| 12 |
Horsens
|
27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | -25 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Aarhus
Randers FC
Brondby
Aarhus
Aarhus
Midtjylland
Nordsjaelland
Aarhus
Brondby
Aarhus
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.