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Superligaen
FC Copenhagen
U S S S U
3–3
Full-time
Aarhus
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,2
This season — Superligaen · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 53%
53%
53%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
71%
53%
Both score Ø 65%
71%
59%
Average goals
3,5
2,6
Scored
1,9
1,7
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match FC Copenhagen 4. · Aarhus 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brondby 17 12 1 4 +13 37
2 Midtjylland 17 11 3 3 +12 36
3 Aarhus 17 9 5 3 +13 32
4 FC Copenhagen 17 9 3 5 +5 30
5 Randers FC 18 8 3 7 +10 27
6 Sonderjyske 17 7 3 7 +1 24
7 Odense 18 6 6 6 +0 24
8 Aalborg 18 5 7 6 -6 22
9 Vejle 18 5 6 7 -6 21
10 Nordsjaelland 18 4 7 7 +0 19
11 Horsens 18 1 5 12 -20 8
12 Lyngby 17 1 5 11 -22 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.