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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Malaga
T U S S T
2–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,5
3,7
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 30%
28%
31%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
36%
44%
Both score Ø 55%
41%
69%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 17. · Sp Gijon 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 40 20 13 7 +25 73
2 Elche 40 20 11 9 +19 71
3 Mirandes 39 20 8 11 +16 68
4 Santander 39 19 10 10 +15 67
5 Oviedo 39 18 12 9 +11 66
6 Almeria 39 17 11 11 +13 62
7 Granada 40 17 11 12 +11 62
8 Huesca 40 17 10 13 +12 61
9 Eibar 40 14 13 13 +1 55
10 Cordoba 39 14 12 13 +0 54
11 Albacete 40 14 12 14 -2 54
12 Burgos 40 15 9 16 -6 54
13 La Coruna 40 13 14 13 +7 53
14 Cadiz 39 13 13 13 +0 52
15 Sp Gijon 39 12 14 13 +1 50
16 Castellon 39 13 10 16 +0 49
17 Malaga 39 11 16 12 -3 49
18 Zaragoza 39 12 12 15 -4 48
19 Eldense 39 11 10 18 -18 43
20 Tenerife 40 8 12 20 -17 36
21 Ferrol 39 5 12 22 -39 27
22 Cartagena 40 6 5 29 -42 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Sp Gijon
Carlos Puga 🟨
-5′
-5′
🟨 José Ángel
Half-time 0–1
59′
J. Otero 0–1
Guille Rosas
Manu Molina 🔁
↦ Julen Lobete
60′
Dioni 🔁
↦ Izan Merino
61′
Dioni 🟨
63′
67′
🔁 Diego Sánchez
↦ César Gelabert
1–1 Chupe
David Larrubia
67′
74′
🔁 Dani Queipo
↦ Nico Serrano
77′
🟨 Pablo García
Gabilondo 🔁
↦ Diego Murillo
77′
2–1 Chupe
Víctor García
83′
Chupete 🟨
84′
Juanpe 🔁
↦ Chupe
88′
Rafa Rodríguez 🔁
↦ David Larrubia
88′
88′
🔁 Víctor Campuzano
↦ Lander Olaetxea
88′
🔁 Nacho Martín
↦ Pablo García
Victor Garcia Marin 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Alfonso Herrero G
16 Diego Murillo D
5 Álex Pastor D
20 Nélson Monte D
14 Víctor García D
26 Antoñito Cordero M
29 Izan Merino M
19 Luismi M
24 Julen Lobete M
10 David Larrubia F
27 Chupe F
Bench (12)
12 Manu Molina
17 Dioni
2 Gabilondo
8 Juanpe
37 Rafa Rodríguez
11 Kevin Medina
3 Puga
23 Sangalli
9 R. Baturina
13 Carlos López
22 Dani Lorenzo
36 Recio

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Sp Gijon

4-2-3-1
1 Rubén Yáñez G
2 Guille Rosas D
15 N. Maraš D
4 Róber Pier D
5 Pablo García D
14 Lander Olaetxea M
10 Nacho Méndez M
7 Gaspar Campos M
18 César Gelabert M
21 Nico Serrano M
19 J. Otero F
Bench (11)
22 Diego Sánchez
9 Dani Queipo
11 Víctor Campuzano
6 Nacho Martín
38 Gerard Moreno
3 Cote
13 C. Sánchez
23 Eric Curbelo
27 Álex Oyón
12 Carlos Dotor
26 Iker Martínez

Coach: Asier Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,59
U
2,60
B
3,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,26
U2,5
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.