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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Orellana
Sp Gijon
S T T S T
3–2
Full-time
Cartagena
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 23%
30%
15%
Points per game
1,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
45%
53%
Both score Ø 59%
70%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%
25 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 17. · Cartagena 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 40 20 13 7 +25 73
2 Elche 40 20 11 9 +19 71
3 Mirandes 40 21 8 11 +17 71
4 Oviedo 40 19 12 9 +12 69
5 Santander 40 19 10 11 +13 67
6 Almeria 40 18 11 11 +15 65
7 Granada 40 17 11 12 +11 62
8 Huesca 40 17 10 13 +12 61
9 Albacete 41 15 12 14 +0 57
10 Eibar 40 14 13 13 +1 55
11 Cordoba 40 14 12 14 -1 54
12 Burgos 40 15 9 16 -6 54
13 La Coruna 40 13 14 13 +7 53
14 Cadiz 40 13 13 14 -1 52
15 Malaga 40 12 16 12 -2 52
16 Castellon 40 13 11 16 +0 50
17 Sp Gijon 40 12 14 14 +0 50
18 Zaragoza 40 12 12 16 -5 48
19 Eldense 40 11 11 18 -18 44
20 Tenerife 40 8 12 20 -17 36
21 Ferrol 41 6 12 23 -40 30
22 Cartagena 40 6 5 29 -42 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Cartagena
7′
🟨 Jorge Moreno
25′
D. Luna 0–1
Óscar Clemente
34′
🔁 Sergio Guerrero
↦ A. Ndiaye
44′
🟨 Martín Aguirregabiria
Half-time 0–1
N. Maraš 🔁
↦ Róber Pier
46′
46′
🔁 Julián Delmás
↦ Jorge Moreno
46′
🔁 N. Šipčić
↦ Martín Aguirregabiria
1–1 César Gelabert
Gaspar Campos
50′
53′
🟨 Sergio Guerrero
2–1 Gaspar Campos
Diego Sánchez
59′
Nico Serrano 🔁
↦ Dani Queipo
60′
3–1 Nacho Martín
Gaspar Campos
63′
67′
🔁 R. Núñez
↦ José Machín
Carlos Dotor 🔁
↦ Nacho Méndez
69′
Víctor Campuzano 🔁
↦ J. Otero
69′
Pablo García 🔁
↦ Cote
79′
81′
🔁 A. Vukčević
↦ Pedro Alcalá
85′
Nacho Martínez 3–2
Óscar Clemente
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-2-3-1
1 Rubén Yáñez G
2 Guille Rosas D
4 Róber Pier D
22 Diego Sánchez D
3 Cote D
6 Nacho Martín M
10 Nacho Méndez M
9 Dani Queipo M
18 César Gelabert M
7 Gaspar Campos M
19 J. Otero F
Bench (10)
15 N. Maraš
21 Nico Serrano
12 Carlos Dotor
11 Víctor Campuzano
5 Pablo García
23 Eric Curbelo
27 Álex Oyón
13 C. Sánchez
38 Gerard Moreno
14 Lander Olaetxea

Coach: Asier Garitano

Cartagena

4-2-3-1
40 Toni Fuidias G
19 Martín Aguirregabiria D
4 Pedro Alcalá D
2 Jorge Moreno D
20 Nacho Martínez D
17 Andy Rodríguez M
5 A. Ndiaye M
32 D. Luna M
16 José Machín M
11 Óscar Clemente M
14 Álex Millán F
Bench (10)
6 Sergio Guerrero
21 Julián Delmás
24 N. Šipčić
38 R. Núñez
12 A. Vukčević
10 Dani Escriche
33 S. El Jebari
1 Pablo Cuñat
9 Alfredo Ortuño
30 J. Dick

Coach: Guillermo Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,21
U
5,89
B
13,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,31
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Orellana · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.