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LaLiga2
Malaga
T S U T S
1–0
Full-time
Alcorcon
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Alcorcon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,5
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,5
1,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 0
15 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Malaga 11. · Alcorcon 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vallecano 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Sp Gijon 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Espanol 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Fuenlabrada 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Alcorcon 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Ponferradina 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Leganes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Tenerife 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Castellon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Lugo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Malaga 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Oviedo 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Mirandes 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Las Palmas 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Zaragoza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Mallorca 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Cartagena 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Sabadell 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Logrones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Albacete 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,60
U
2,80
B
3,03
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,79
U2,5 ✓
1,41
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.