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LaLiga2

Alcorcon

S U U S U

1–0

Full-time

Malaga

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 27%

33%

20%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

47%

20%

Both score Ø 47%

53%

40%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 5

15 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alcorcon 12. · Malaga 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	15	11	2	2	+12	35
2	Fuenlabrada	16	8	4	4	+6	28
3	Almeria	16	6	8	2	+8	26
4	Huesca	16	8	2	6	+6	26
5	Numancia	16	6	7	3	+5	25
6	Albacete	16	8	1	7	-5	25
7	Girona	16	7	3	6	+2	24
8	Ponferradina	16	5	8	3	+5	23
9	Zaragoza	16	6	5	5	+3	23
10	Elche	16	6	5	5	+2	23
11	Vallecano	16	4	9	3	+3	21
12	Alcorcon	15	5	6	4	+2	21
13	Las Palmas	15	5	4	6	-3	19
14	Lugo	15	4	7	4	-4	19
15	Mirandes	15	4	6	5	-6	18
16	Sp Gijon	15	4	5	6	+0	17
17	Extremadura UD	16	4	4	8	-6	16
18	Malaga	15	3	6	6	-3	15
19	Tenerife	15	3	5	7	-3	14
20	Oviedo	15	3	5	7	-5	14
21	Santander	15	1	9	5	-4	12
22	La Coruna	16	1	7	8	-15	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	7	6	1	0	+10	19
2	Huesca	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Numancia	9	5	2	2	+5	17
4	Girona	8	5	2	1	+5	17
5	Ponferradina	9	4	4	1	+6	16
6	Fuenlabrada	8	4	3	1	+4	15
7	Almeria	7	4	2	1	+6	14
8	Zaragoza	9	4	2	3	+4	14
9	Vallecano	8	3	4	1	+3	13
10	Mirandes	8	3	4	1	+3	13
11	Sp Gijon	8	3	3	2	+5	12
12	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Lugo	8	3	2	3	-3	11
14	Elche	8	2	4	2	+0	10
15	Albacete	7	3	1	3	-3	10
16	Oviedo	7	1	5	1	+0	8
17	Extremadura UD	8	2	2	4	-3	8
18	Santander	8	1	4	3	-1	7
19	Malaga	7	1	4	2	-1	7
20	Alcorcon	7	2	1	4	-3	7
21	Tenerife	7	1	3	3	-2	6
22	La Coruna	7	1	3	3	-4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	8	5	1	2	+2	16
2	Albacete	9	5	0	4	-2	15
3	Alcorcon	8	3	5	0	+5	14
4	Elche	8	4	1	3	+2	13
5	Fuenlabrada	8	4	1	3	+2	13
6	Almeria	9	2	6	1	+2	12
7	Zaragoza	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Vallecano	8	1	5	2	+0	8
9	Numancia	7	1	5	1	+0	8
10	Tenerife	8	2	2	4	-1	8
11	Lugo	7	1	5	1	-1	8
12	Malaga	8	2	2	4	-2	8
13	Las Palmas	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Extremadura UD	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Ponferradina	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Girona	8	2	1	5	-3	7
17	Huesca	8	2	1	5	-3	7
18	Oviedo	8	2	0	6	-5	6
19	Santander	7	0	5	2	-3	5
20	Sp Gijon	7	1	2	4	-5	5
21	Mirandes	7	1	2	4	-9	5
22	La Coruna	9	0	4	5	-11	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.