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Serie B

Referee: M Monaldi

Mantova

S U T S T

2–1

Full-time

Carrarese

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Carrarese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 28%

25%

31%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

53%

44%

Both score Ø 51%

58%

44%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 6

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mantova 14. · Carrarese 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	36	25	7	4	+43	82
2	Pisa	36	21	7	8	+24	70
3	Spezia	36	16	15	5	+25	63
4	Cremonese	36	15	13	8	+18	58
5	Juve Stabia	36	14	12	10	+2	54
6	Catanzaro	36	10	19	7	+4	49
7	Palermo	36	13	9	14	+7	48
8	Bari	36	10	17	9	+3	47
9	Cesena	36	12	11	13	-3	47
10	Modena	36	10	14	12	-1	44
11	Sudtirol	36	12	8	16	-7	44
12	Carrarese	36	11	11	14	-9	44
13	Reggiana	36	10	11	15	-10	41
14	Mantova	36	9	13	14	-10	40
15	Frosinone	36	8	16	12	-12	40
16	Brescia	36	8	15	13	-7	39
17	Salernitana	36	10	9	17	-11	39
18	Sampdoria	36	7	16	13	-12	37
19	Cittadella	36	9	10	17	-23	37
20	Cosenza	36	7	13	16	-21	34

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	17	14	2	1	+29	44
2	Pisa	17	12	3	2	+18	39
3	Spezia	17	11	4	2	+18	37
4	Carrarese	19	10	5	4	+6	35
5	Juve Stabia	17	10	3	4	+8	33
6	Cesena	19	8	7	4	+6	31
7	Salernitana	19	9	4	6	+5	31
8	Catanzaro	19	7	9	3	+10	30
9	Bari	19	7	9	3	+5	30
10	Cremonese	19	7	8	4	+7	29
11	Mantova	17	7	6	4	+4	27
12	Palermo	17	7	4	6	+5	25
13	Modena	17	6	7	4	+4	25
14	Sudtirol	18	6	6	6	-2	24
15	Reggiana	19	6	6	7	-2	24
16	Sampdoria	18	5	7	6	-3	22
17	Frosinone	19	4	10	5	-6	22
18	Cosenza	18	5	7	6	-6	22
19	Brescia	18	3	9	6	-2	18
20	Cittadella	17	2	7	8	-11	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	19	11	5	3	+14	38
2	Pisa	19	9	4	6	+6	31
3	Cremonese	17	8	5	4	+11	29
4	Spezia	19	5	11	3	+7	26
5	Cittadella	19	7	3	9	-12	24
6	Palermo	19	6	5	8	+2	23
7	Brescia	18	5	6	7	-5	21
8	Juve Stabia	19	4	9	6	-6	21
9	Sudtirol	18	6	2	10	-5	20
10	Modena	19	4	7	8	-5	19
11	Catanzaro	17	3	10	4	-6	19
12	Frosinone	17	4	6	7	-6	18
13	Bari	17	3	8	6	-2	17
14	Reggiana	17	4	5	8	-8	17
15	Cesena	17	4	4	9	-9	16
16	Sampdoria	18	2	9	7	-9	15
17	Mantova	19	2	7	10	-14	13
18	Cosenza	18	2	6	10	-15	12
19	Carrarese	17	1	6	10	-15	9
20	Salernitana	17	1	5	11	-16	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.