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Serie B
Referee: Federico Dionisi
Sampdoria
T T T T U
0–0
Full-time
Catanzaro
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Catanzaro
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
0,6
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
5 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 20. · Catanzaro 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 6 4 2 0 +9 14
2 Modena 5 4 1 0 +8 13
3 Palermo 6 3 3 0 +5 12
4 Avellino 6 3 2 1 +2 11
5 Cesena 6 3 2 1 +2 11
6 Juve Stabia 6 2 4 0 +3 10
7 Venezia 6 2 3 1 +2 9
8 Sudtirol 5 2 2 1 +2 8
9 Padova 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Monza 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Carrarese 5 1 3 1 +1 6
12 Reggiana 6 1 3 2 -1 6
13 Virtus Entella 6 1 3 2 -2 6
14 Catanzaro 5 0 5 0 +0 5
15 Empoli 5 1 2 2 -4 5
16 Pescara 5 1 1 3 +0 4
17 Bari 6 0 3 3 -6 3
18 Spezia 6 0 3 3 -6 3
19 Mantova 6 1 0 5 -8 3
20 Sampdoria 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Catanzaro
Half-time 0–0
L. Henderson 🔁
↦ L. Benedetti
61′
61′
🔁 F. Rispoli
↦ S. Pontisso
61′
🔁 L. Pandolfi
↦ R. Oudin
M. Coda 🔁
↦ M. Cuni
62′
72′
🟨 Alphadjo Cissè
73′
🔁 G. Di Chiara
↦ B. Verrengia
73′
🔁 F. Pittarello
↦ P. Iemmello
N. Ioannou 🔁
↦ L. Venuti
82′
A. Barak 🔁
↦ S. Pafundi
82′
86′
🔁 F. Di Francesco
↦ C. Favasuli
F. Conti 🔁
↦ A. Bellemo
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sampdoria

3-4-2-1
1 S. Ghidotti G
5 A. Riccio D
17 D. Hadzikadunic D
31 S. Vulikic D
23 F. Depaoli M
28 O. Abildgaard M
14 A. Bellemo M
18 L. Venuti M
20 S. Pafundi F
80 L. Benedetti F
7 M. Cuni F
Bench (12)
98 G. Coucke
30 N. Ravaglia
3 A. Coubis
21 S. Giordano
44 N. Ioannou
72 A. Barak
33 F. Conti
4 J. Ferri
16 L. Henderson
8 M. Ricci
9 M. Coda
70 V. Narro

Coach: Massimo Donati

Catanzaro

3-4-2-1
22 M. Pigliacelli G
18 D. Bettella D
4 Matias Antonini D
26 B. Verrengia D
84 T. Cassandro M
10 J. Petriccione M
20 S. Pontisso M
27 C. Favasuli M
28 R. Oudin F
80 A. Cisse F
9 P. Iemmello F
Bench (12)
1 C. Marietta
5 E. Bashi
23 N. Brighenti
17 G. Di Chiara
98 D. Buglio
32 F. Rispoli
19 P. Nuamah
45 N. Buso
77 M. D'Alessandro
94 F. Di Francesco
7 L. Pandolfi
8 F. Pittarello

Coach: Alberto Aquilani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U ✓
3,15
B
3,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,27
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.